Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 1, 2021

August 1, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Loaded Question 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 She’s Got Moves 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Red Equinox 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Old Secrets 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Capture the Moment 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Trading Bay 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 First Empire 4.50 3 6-1
9 9 Diamond City 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Silent Runner 3.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Coo Bird 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Innuendo 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Aoristos 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Day Tripper 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Silent Farewell 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Point to the Stars 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Pot Committed 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Plate Trial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 H C Holiday 1.80 1.6 3-1
4 4 Avoman 1.60 1.7 3-1
2 2 Derzkii 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Truffle King 5.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Wora 2.00 3 6-1
6 5 Holyfield 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Desolator 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Mr. Diffley 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Ben Lomond 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Sir Seamus 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Decimator 15.00 6.6 12-1
12 11 Pugin 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Mambointheforest 20.00 7.7 15-1
9 8 Prince of Thieves 20.00 8.6 16-1
11 10 Just Like Larry 20.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Aim for the Sky 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lion’s Goldenheart 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 English Classic 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Ammunition 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Hell Bent 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Birchmount Rd 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Kosmonavt 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Sweepin Hard 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Highland Society 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 13 Sun Daddy 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Dunsandle 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Bolu 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Beau Guest 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Nikolaou 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Hiatus 5.00 4.5 8-1
15 14 Frosted Folly 12.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Giant Waters 4.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Free Shipping 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Star Chamber 20.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Milwaukee Fibolt 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Liars Club 30.00 8.7 17-1
1 1 Bodie 30.00 9.2 17-1
13 12 Arbeit 30.00 9.7 18-1
12 12 Greyshott 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Vigil S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Souper Stonehenge 1.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Not So Quiet 5.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Pink Lloyd 1.40 2 4-1
6 6 Embolden 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Cash Dividend 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Green Light Go 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Woodbine Oaks Presented By Budweiser

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lorena 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Curlin’s Catch 3.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Munnyfor Ro 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Miss Marie 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Lady Moonshine 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Il Malocchio 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Emmeline 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Jilli Marie 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Erasmo’s Girl 30.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Youens 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Royal North S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Change of Control 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Jeanie B (GB) 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Lead Guitar 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Amalfi Coast 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Lady Grace 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Jeannie’s Beepbeep 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sister Peacock 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Fairywren 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Circle of Friends 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Celebratory 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Malibu Secret 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 City Boy 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Senor Jobim 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Forester’s Fortune 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Alicia’s Kid 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Alacritous 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Correlate 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Union Colonel 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Kodiak Mamba (IRE) 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Chairman Fox 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Sun Forester 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Lucky Luke 15.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 I’m Dashing 10.00 4.1 8-1
12 11 Settebello 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Twice as Smart 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Abraxas 30.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Regal Intent 30.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Jr Bourbon 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Liverpool Man 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Verrazano Narrows 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More