August 1, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Loaded Question | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Got Moves | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Equinox | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Secrets | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capture the Moment | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trading Bay | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | First Empire | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Diamond City | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Runner | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coo Bird | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Innuendo | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aoristos | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Day Tripper | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Farewell | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Point to the Stars | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pot Committed | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Plate Trial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | H C Holiday | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avoman | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derzkii | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truffle King | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Wora | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holyfield | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Desolator | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Diffley | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ben Lomond | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sir Seamus | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Decimator | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Pugin | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mambointheforest | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Prince of Thieves | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Just Like Larry | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aim for the Sky | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | English Classic | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ammunition | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hell Bent | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Birchmount Rd | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kosmonavt | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweepin Hard | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Society | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 13 | Sun Daddy | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dunsandle | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bolu | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beau Guest | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nikolaou | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hiatus | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Frosted Folly | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Giant Waters | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Free Shipping | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star Chamber | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Milwaukee Fibolt | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liars Club | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bodie | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Arbeit | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Greyshott | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Vigil S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Souper Stonehenge | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not So Quiet | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Lloyd | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Embolden | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cash Dividend | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Green Light Go | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Woodbine Oaks Presented By Budweiser
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lorena | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Catch | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Munnyfor Ro | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Marie | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Moonshine | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Il Malocchio | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emmeline | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jilli Marie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Erasmo’s Girl | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Youens | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Royal North S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Change of Control | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jeanie B (GB) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lead Guitar | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Amalfi Coast | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Grace | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jeannie’s Beepbeep | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Peacock | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fairywren | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Circle of Friends | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celebratory | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Malibu Secret | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | City Boy | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Senor Jobim | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Forester’s Fortune | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alicia’s Kid | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alacritous | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Correlate | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Union Colonel | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kodiak Mamba (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chairman Fox | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sun Forester | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Luke | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’m Dashing | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Settebello | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twice as Smart | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abraxas | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Regal Intent | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jr Bourbon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Liverpool Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Verrazano Narrows | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.