August 1, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Everesting | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Loaded Joe | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Not Stormy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Congrats for Glory | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Mo’s Cat | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Thruster | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rye Runner | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River Redemption | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raising Sand | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Camouflaged Kisser | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Isabella’s Dream | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chevauchee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Silvery Rill | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blissful | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pammy’s Ready | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gillian Elizabeth | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Waterville | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Barrett | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dancin Dee | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amani’s Image | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Popular Vote | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lookin for Loki | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Megatap | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full Court Press | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dee Bo | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Indian | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eucharist | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Centavo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Lilly Simone | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Smooth Pebble | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Big Al’s Gal | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Translate | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Sister’s Ghost | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Sky Kitten | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenderness | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Calibogue Sound | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jades Gelly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Crystalology | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Rotknee | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whittington Park | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tin Pan Alley | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spettro | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bointheback | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kenner | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Makart | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Who Hoo Thats Me | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Amniarix | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Teheran (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New York Girl (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enola Gay | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Platinum Paynter | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sun Summers | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lake Lucerne | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Flower | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Saratoga Affair | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | True Castle | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Foxtail | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stop War | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hotsy Totsy (IRE) | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Town Classic | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aloha West | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cost Basis | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Night Time | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yodel E. A. Who | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Phil | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runningwscissors | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 5 | Bayshore Foxes | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 3 | Italian Twin | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Exotic West | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 7 | Red Pepper Grill | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 6 | Easter Chocolate | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 4 | Seahorse d’Oro | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Cherokee Song | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss and Run | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mirabell Mei | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Adriatic Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss Mamba | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Amortization (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Social Exclusion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Princess Pinky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Summer in the City | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tornado Crossing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Amsterdam S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | River Dog | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackie’s Warrior | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drain the Clock | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crowded Trade | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flash of Mischief | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Luigi | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Elusive Site | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Esotica | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Willow Grove | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Maria’s Gift | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Not a Trace | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New York Banker | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Spun for Lu Lu | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Curious Mind | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Escapology | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ob La Di | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Unlock | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Know It All Red | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Captivating Cara | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lass | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Queentigua | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Moon Over Ny | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.