Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 1, 2021

August 1, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Everesting 2.00 2 4-1
12 11 Loaded Joe 5.00 3.4 6-1
8A 7 Not Stormy 6.00 3.6 7-1
10A 9 Congrats for Glory 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Uncle Mo’s Cat 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 10 Thruster 6.00 4 8-1
9 8 Rye Runner 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 River Redemption 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Raising Sand 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Camouflaged Kisser 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Isabella’s Dream 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Chevauchee 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Silvery Rill 1.60 1.5 3-1
3 2 Blissful 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Pammy’s Ready 4.00 2.9 6-1
6 5 Gillian Elizabeth 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Waterville 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Barrett 10.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Dancin Dee 12.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Amani’s Image 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Popular Vote 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lookin for Loki 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Megatap 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Full Court Press 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Dee Bo 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Frosted Indian 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Eucharist 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Centavo 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Lilly Simone 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 3 Smooth Pebble 4.50 1.9 4-1
9 5 Jill’s a Hot Mess 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 4 Big Al’s Gal 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 7 Translate 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 1 Sister’s Ghost 12.00 4 8-1
11 8 Sky Kitten 30.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Tenderness 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Calibogue Sound 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Jades Gelly 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Crystalology 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Rotknee 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Whittington Park 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 5 Tin Pan Alley 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Spettro 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Bointheback 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Kenner 15.00 6 11-1
8 7 Makart 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Who Hoo Thats Me 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Amniarix 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Miss Teheran (IRE) 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 New York Girl (IRE) 2.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Enola Gay 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Platinum Paynter 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Sun Summers 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Lake Lucerne 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Candy Flower 12.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Saratoga Affair 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 True Castle 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Foxtail 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stop War 30.00 10.7 20-1
8 8 Hotsy Totsy (IRE) 30.00 11.2 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Town Classic 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Aloha West 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Cost Basis 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Night Time 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Yodel E. A. Who 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Mr Phil 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Runningwscissors 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 5 Bayshore Foxes 3.50 1.1 2-1
11 3 Italian Twin 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 2 Exotic West 8.00 4.6 9-1
16 7 Red Pepper Grill 6.00 5 10-1
15 6 Easter Chocolate 4.00 5.1 10-1
13 4 Seahorse d’Oro 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 1 Cherokee Song 15.00 8 15-1
1 1 Kiss and Run 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mirabell Mei 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Adriatic Rose 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Miss Mamba 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Amortization (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Social Exclusion 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Princess Pinky 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Summer in the City 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Tornado Crossing 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Amsterdam S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 River Dog 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Jackie’s Warrior 1.20 2.1 4-1
2 2 Drain the Clock 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Crowded Trade 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Flash of Mischief 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Mister Luigi 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Elusive Site 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Esotica 4.00 2.8 5-1
12 10 Willow Grove 8.00 4 8-1
8 6 Maria’s Gift 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 8 Not a Trace 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 New York Banker 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 7 Spun for Lu Lu 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 5 Curious Mind 20.00 7.9 15-1
14 11 Escapology 20.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Ob La Di 15.00 8.3 16-1
11 9 Unlock 20.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Know It All Red 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Captivating Cara 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lass 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Queentigua 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Moon Over Ny 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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