August 1, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Moreno | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Running On Entry | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Til Dusk | 1.40 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bless and Honor | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sevilla Sangria | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wolverette | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Comin Home | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Supporting Actor | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Lenny | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin Ron | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monyinthebanksey | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Manklin Creek | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stand My Ground | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Hard Fought | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | What’s Inside | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | I Got a Rock | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Padrino’s Heart | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Federale | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jammer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Hambone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Caterina One | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lectric Choke | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Sacred Place | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Threethehardway | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shaka Style | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Find Your Boaz | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Given | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | I Love You | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Traffic Song | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Last Trial | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Election | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Forever Dreaming | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Striking Chrome | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kitten With a Whip | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Confusion Baby Boy | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amen Corner | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Step | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Times | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ticker Tape Parade | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Enough | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Factor In | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dream About Me | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alpha Zulu | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dance Warrior | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sugar Snap | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Monet | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unshakable U | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Self Assured | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.