Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 1, 2021

August 1, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Bella Future 2.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Vicmar 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Weatherford 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Abhar 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Master Q 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Fado 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Cheval Dore 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Smooth Music 12.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Tutankhamunatcha 15.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Blame Charlie 20.00 8.7 17-1
13 13 Bulk 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Can’t Be Broken 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Luca Drew the Ace 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Geoscience 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Finding Mischief 30.00 12.1 23-1
3 3 Nona Rac 30.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 K’s Running Free 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 J’s Indian Charm 1.80 2.3 4-1
6 6 Simplify (ARG) 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Taylor’s in Orbit 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Chutzpah 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Tee Up 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Eldon’s Prince 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 3 On Thin Ice 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Classic Film 4.50 3.3 6-1
10 8 Kiss Principal 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Always Above 8.00 5 9-1
11 9 Eye On the Candy 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 T Ville 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 7 Soulful Song 30.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Drinksonthebeach 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Gemini Moon 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cupid’s Dude 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 The Skipper Too 3.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Borrelly 30.00 10.6 20-1
12 10 Grabbing the Money 30.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dimenna 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Piypa de Lynda 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Billy Yank 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Proud Contender 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Captain 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Time to Wish 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Dalio 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mutaraafeq 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Bright Devil (IRE) 2.50 2 4-1
2 1 Fulmini 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Kartano 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Todaystheday 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Exchange Day 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Boca Guy 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Big Thorn 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Uncaptured King 3.50 2.5 5-1
11 11 Nimble Beast 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Starship Taxi 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 First Navy Admiral 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Timewon’tletmego 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 One Turn Johnny 8.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Sea Trident 10.00 5 9-1
9 9 Handsome Prince 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Captured by Fate 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Shakem N Breakem 30.00 8.7 17-1
7 7 Andrew the Bull 30.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Fitz’s Mo 30.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Bahamian Moon 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Follow Me Mom 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Yellen 6.00 4 8-1
10 9 La Cara Bonita 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Gasparilla Blast 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Beating the Odds 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Princess Carrigan 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Happy Loudon 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Play That Tone 30.00 8 15-1
8 8 Beauty Queen 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Kiss Upon a Star 5.00 2.9 5-1
11 9 Luli’s Dancer 4.00 2.9 6-1
10 8 Harper Be Good 4.50 3 6-1
12 10 Dear Mama Mia 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Bembe 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 7 Yes I’m Spiteful 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Sequin Lady 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Kumandra 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Had a Nice Weekend 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Moonlight Tango 30.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Uncaptured Grace 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Suspiciously Sweet 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Dahlonega 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Thinkin Cowtown 3.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Heir Ball 4.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 I’m Prayingforthat 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 The Great Kath 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Tony’s Rose 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Avenida Manana 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Katieleigh 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Miss Miami 20.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Stormy Nelly 20.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Distinctly Blue 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 The Other Cat 30.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 R Next Roll 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sweet Baby Raelynn 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Shiny Empire 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Between Dreams 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Goodbye Gaby 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Patrick’s Lass 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Gaga Oh La La 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Miss Italy 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Caffeine Rush 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Viva La Reina 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Jada’s Kingdom 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Romantical Note 30.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Earnestine N Hazel (IRE) 2.50 2.9 6-1
10 10 Allsystemsareago 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Touring Egypt 3.50 3.7 7-1
11 11 Karenville 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Yamboree Queen 10.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Streaking Grey 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Panotti 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Blue Eye Kitten 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Central Park Girl 30.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 American Empress 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bella Gabriella 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Fastlife 30.00 10.2 19-1
1 1 Pretty Princess 30.00 10.6 20-1
3 3 Port Eve 30.00 10.9 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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