Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 1, 2021

August 1, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Just Distorted 1.80 1.4 3-1
5 5 Big Sweep 1.60 2.8 5-1
2 2 Livingmybestlife 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Queengol 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Forest Caraway 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Liv and Let Liv 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Urban 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Time to Party 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Bombs At Cocal 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 No Limitation 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Roy C 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Double the Gold 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Magnolia 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pinehurst 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Enbarr 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Penetrator 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Haskelled 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Cabo Spirit 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Attorney Louis 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 The Met 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Khantaro d’Oro 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Leisurewear (IRE) 3.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Zero Tolerance 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Christmas Diamond (GB) 6.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Pequena Tormenta 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Kalon 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Brazilian Secret (IRE) 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 New Drama 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 M Is for Magic 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Bowl of Cherries 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Jubilee Lake (GB) 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Aventapp 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Katerini 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Reedley 1.80 3.3 6-1
2 2 Rinse and Repeat 3.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Lucky Ryan Seven 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Whenducksfly 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Stay Happy 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Redaction 15.00 5 9-1
10 9 Bob’s Sniper 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Afternoon Heat 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 7 Royal Seeker 30.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Next Flight 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Into Touring 2.50 1.8 3-1
10 9 Very Scary 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 La Deuxieme Etoile 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Baby’s Dream 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Violet Storm 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 A Crown for Kitten 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Burrow Down 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Beachgrass 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Precious Insight 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Scam Likely 30.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Fliplit 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Assunta 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Kattath 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 K P Silver Bullet 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Diamond Ranger 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Grandconcourse Guy 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Frost Warning 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 No Hang Charlie 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Thanks Maggio (ARG) 12.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Honor Among Men 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Love of the Sport 15.00 5 10-1
3 3 Philipie Fast 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Me Macho 15.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Danza’s Moon 30.00 8.5 16-1
13 13 Abi Gezunt 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Catemaco 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 El Diablo Rojo 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 In Vronsky Style 3.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Teton Valley 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Fly the Sky 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Star Racer 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Riding With Dino 8.00 6 11-1
12 12 Nichiren 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Thismustbetheplace 15.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Stir the Pot 20.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Bam Bam Again 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ascot Storm 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Too Late 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tiz a Speed Bomb 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Clement L. Hirsch S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Shedaresthedevil 1.40 2.2 4-1
6 6 Venetian Harbor 2.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 As Time Goes By 1.60 2.6 5-1
4 4 Paige Anne 15.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Cover Version 30.00 5 9-1
1 1 Warren’s Showtime 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Clockstrikestwelve 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Shizaam (IRE) 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 The Ginger Queen (IRE) 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Quinevere (GER) 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Mongolian Mission 5.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 I Give Up 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Fabiolla (GB) 5.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Bellize 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Beirut Beauty 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Big Moon 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Return to Harbor 30.00 9 17-1
12 12 Golden Journey 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Miracle of Hope 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Witch Moon 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Pluma 30.00 10.5 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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