July 31, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Astrological | 0.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Right to Freedom | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Lunar | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beat the System | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swilling | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dama Elegante | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buttered Toast | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Lady | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Preferred Guest | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gote Go | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Above All Names | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nantucket Red | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosebud’s Hope | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Auntie Katherine | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Alywow S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady War Machine | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honey Pants | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Buy Love | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Street | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dirty Dangle | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Libertee | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Royal Laser | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eskiminzin | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Timeskip | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rose’s Vision | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lapochka | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Viewfinder | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Split My Pants | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Jimmie | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clear Destination | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honey Won’t | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Man | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Native Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Malibu Mambo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dun Drum | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Silver Magnatized | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Smart Bird | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mizz Gemma | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Ghost | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oneofthemgirls | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swoop to Finish | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nice Quist | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Intro | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Allpaidup | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fifth Anniversary | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Swinging Mandy | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tale of Perfection | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassywithattitude | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forest B | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zip It | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Kitty | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Verdejo | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tally Road | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stunning Rivers | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | We’ve Had Enough | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unbee Noanst | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thatsitthatsall | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Strega | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – My Dear S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lois Len | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diabolic (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curlin Candy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Guileful | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Engagement | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy Is a Breeze | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bid Once | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gorman | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Victoria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | One Timer | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Twenty Four Mamba | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Feelthebeat | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Romantic Gamble | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Concealed Carry | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Summer Sunset | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimate Answer | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mowins | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grey Seal | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen’s Speed | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mia At Midnight | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scatter the Clouds | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meadow Beauty | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Munnings | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stokes | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Say Hey (FR) | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Garter | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Collective Force | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blast in the Snow | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Loaded Sniper | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lomaki Force | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Runninforcover | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maritime Mission | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Punch Hard | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Belentime | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Truffle King | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Rookie Girl | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ostracize | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kerics Beauty | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nice Company | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rum Raisin | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Top Prize Girl | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Poinciana | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fionnuala | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Viracocha | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hekla’s Aura | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Marais | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms. P’s Bella | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’m Not Perfect | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rosa Villosa | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.