Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 31, 2021

July 31, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blue Dashn 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Emorylee 1.80 3.2 6-1
9 9 Rf Fast Dash N Jess 8.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 The Geauxt 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Fast Dashin Carter 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Jessa Sizzlin 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 As the Other Guy 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Jj Idea Snow 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Cecilia Jess Blue 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Arjet 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cc Waterr Back 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Tc Annas Girl 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Jess Shalish Blue 2.50 2.9 6-1
10 10 Logans Tee Cos 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Tha Highway Man 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Carry On Cos 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Rio Rojo Cartel 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Negociante Cartel 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Big Red Loves Corona 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Coronas Coming Back 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Presenting Leading Owner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Eyeondaprize 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Hh Gailforce 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Sheza Freighttrain T 1.80 2.7 5-1
1 1 Five Bar Miracles 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 One Sweet Filly 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Tee Zo 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Wicked Blue 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Sheza Jet Stream 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Live Oak S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Freakin Patriot Dash 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 U R Jess Blue 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Streak of Music 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Racing Kane 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 No Key Needed 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Jess Louisiana Tee 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Louisiana Flyboy 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Zoomingprincezydeco 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Louisiana Starter S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jessbye Train 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 Tailors Jess 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Favorite Fast Dash 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Annas T Time 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mya Patriot 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Mauvais Boj 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 A Real World 15.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 The Blues Train 15.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Jrs Toasted Dragon 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Dl Quick Joyride 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Louisiana Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Flyin the Red Eye 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Patriotic Trump 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Flying Adelia 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Tf Fearless Runaway 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Shesa Knockoutcartel 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Greatest of All Time 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Stratosphear 10.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Dianetoseparatefromu 12.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Sweater Tlc 15.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Jrs Runaway Dash 15.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Flying Breed S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Streak N for Fun 2.00 2 4-1
7 7 Jrs Coronas Toast 4.00 2.4 5-1
10 9 Brileys Prize 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Barnett Cartel 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Bye Bye Agouti 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Love the Way You Fly 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Sharks Jess Jumpin 15.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Quicksilver B 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Jess U R Blue 12.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Painted by Perry 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Derby) – Delta Downs Louisiana Bred Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Apollitical High 3.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Fast Dashin Diamond 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Supa Five Bar 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Black Blood 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Fireintheblood 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 A Double Corona 10.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Tdz Rolex Rattler 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Jess Sweet Time 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 El Camino Cl 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Sir Louisiana Dash 15.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Louisiana Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Apollitical B Snow 3.50 1.8 3-1
9 8 Lifeinthefastlanes 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mpshinning 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Lightemupwithcharm 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Achievopiloto 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Ought to Go Tee 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Maggies Runaway 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 El Predator 20.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 Tuckers Prize 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Hh Gailforce 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Futurity) – Lee Berwick Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Blood Money 1.60 2.9 5-1
6 5 Jess Louisiana 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Tdz Royal Runaway 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Sheza Fast Blood 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 San Lorenzeaux 8.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 Quid Pro Quo 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Railroad Jimmy 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Ultimo Alex 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Apolliticalfastlane 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Angel Guns 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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