July 31, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blue Dashn | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emorylee | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rf Fast Dash N Jess | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Geauxt | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Dashin Carter | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jessa Sizzlin | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | As the Other Guy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jj Idea Snow | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cecilia Jess Blue | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arjet | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cc Waterr Back | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tc Annas Girl | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jess Shalish Blue | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Logans Tee Cos | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tha Highway Man | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carry On Cos | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rio Rojo Cartel | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Negociante Cartel | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Red Loves Corona | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coronas Coming Back | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Presenting Leading Owner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Eyeondaprize | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hh Gailforce | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Freighttrain T | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Five Bar Miracles | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Sweet Filly | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tee Zo | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Blue | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Jet Stream | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Live Oak S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Freakin Patriot Dash | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | U R Jess Blue | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Streak of Music | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Racing Kane | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Key Needed | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Louisiana Tee | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Louisiana Flyboy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zoomingprincezydeco | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Louisiana Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jessbye Train | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tailors Jess | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Favorite Fast Dash | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Annas T Time | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mya Patriot | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mauvais Boj | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Real World | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Blues Train | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jrs Toasted Dragon | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dl Quick Joyride | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Louisiana Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Flyin the Red Eye | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Patriotic Trump | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Adelia | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tf Fearless Runaway | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shesa Knockoutcartel | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greatest of All Time | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stratosphear | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dianetoseparatefromu | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweater Tlc | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jrs Runaway Dash | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Flying Breed S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Streak N for Fun | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jrs Coronas Toast | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Brileys Prize | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barnett Cartel | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Agouti | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love the Way You Fly | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharks Jess Jumpin | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quicksilver B | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jess U R Blue | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Painted by Perry | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Derby) – Delta Downs Louisiana Bred Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Apollitical High | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Dashin Diamond | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Supa Five Bar | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Blood | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fireintheblood | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Double Corona | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tdz Rolex Rattler | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jess Sweet Time | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Camino Cl | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Louisiana Dash | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Louisiana Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Apollitical B Snow | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lifeinthefastlanes | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mpshinning | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lightemupwithcharm | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Achievopiloto | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ought to Go Tee | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maggies Runaway | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Predator | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tuckers Prize | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hh Gailforce | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Futurity) – Lee Berwick Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Blood Money | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jess Louisiana | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tdz Royal Runaway | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sheza Fast Blood | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | San Lorenzeaux | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Quid Pro Quo | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Railroad Jimmy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ultimo Alex | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Apolliticalfastlane | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angel Guns | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.