July 31, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Oxide | 1.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Candy Carlos | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Even Thunder | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Welling | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Swing | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greek Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | M. J.’s Lady | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Car Lady | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 6 | That Is Key | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Nurse Rachett | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Smart Red | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Donnameup | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Kefaliani | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Toss | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Son of a Saint | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Ghost Hunter | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dashing Lou | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dover Cliffs | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zaya | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Chateau de Vizille | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rock Solid Golfer | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Dagger | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 10 | Paratycachaca | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Mas Grande | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Perfetto | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Promise of Joy | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Windrush Karma | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Raid | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Baby Cloud | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Emme Roo | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rapidamente | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bobbies | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mania | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Spatial | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kitten Tales | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leah Chase | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Heart | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Legitimately | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Three Coins | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Farcical | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nabruzzi | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Landing Zone | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shyza | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sweet Sami D | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Artful Splatter | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breviary | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Flashndynamite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gracetown | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shane’s Jewel | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Vanzzy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Saratoga Jack | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angelus Warrior | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aspect | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sand Dancer | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Alwaysmining | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Honor the Fleet | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senior Investment | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ballagh Rocks | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tappin Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Caribbean (AUS) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kodapendent | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Close Shave | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Voltamour | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Award Nominated | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Got Fire | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mission Key | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Another Lulu | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.