Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 31, 2021

July 31, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rayray 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Prince Magician 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Defense Wins 1.80 3.2 6-1
3 3 Ka’nah 2.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Palaleo 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Maybe Sometime 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Catbernay 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Starship Chewbacca 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Grace Adler 1.80 1.4 3-1
2 2 Ice Maiden 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Haute Lady 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Travel Smart 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Sugar Sugar 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Valentina Ghada 12.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lookout Point 1.60 1.3 2-1
5 5 Il Capitano 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Astronomer 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 6 Mackinnon 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Fowler Blue 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Quincey 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Empire’s Fire 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Takeittothebank 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 George Herman Ruth 2.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 California Kook 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Appreciated 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Hapi Hapi 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Anitanewmercedes 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Asaro 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Without Malice 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mind Meld 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Speeding 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Double Whopper 5.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Til I Found You 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Gayles Evening 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Del Mar Flash 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Emma’s Dance 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Malibu Mistress 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dark Prince 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Dr. Hoffman 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Railsplitter 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Unilateral 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Achilleus 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Full Draw 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Silent Musketier 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Super Classic 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Very Irish 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lava Lane 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Alice Marble 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Capital Heat 4.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Smiling Annie 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 D’s Lovely Sophia 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Ensleys Dream 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Trina 10.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 After Midnight 15.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Going to Shabooms 20.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Acai 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Shylock Eddie 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Fireproof 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tribal Bid 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Miss Carousel 30.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wipe the Slate 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Code Duello 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Charge Cash 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Herd Immunity 3.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Positivity 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 The Beat 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Sea to Success 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Alpine Thunder 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ocean Atlantique 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ready Soul 3.50 4.9 9-1
9 9 Rip City 4.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 K P All Systems Go 6.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Get Her Number 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Sash (GB) 12.00 8 15-1
10 10 Forever Poe 15.00 9 17-1
4 4 Proverb 15.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Media Blitz 15.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Me and Mr. C 0.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Irideo (ARG) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Bing Crosby S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 C Z Rocket 2.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Dr. Schivel 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Brickyard Ride 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Eight Rings 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Vertical Threat 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Shooters Shoot 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Law Abidin Citizen 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Quick Tempo 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Collusion Illusion 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Constant Conflict 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 U. S. Danger 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Sea of Liberty 3.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Trevor T 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Carmelita’s Man 4.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 One Fast Bro 6.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Foothill 15.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Signofthecross 12.00 9 17-1
12 12 Start a Runnin 15.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Betito 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bench Judge 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Rocks and Salt 20.00 10.3 19-1
10 10 Circleofchampions 20.00 10.4 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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