July 31, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rayray | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Magician | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Defense Wins | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ka’nah | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Palaleo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maybe Sometime | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catbernay | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Chewbacca | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grace Adler | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Maiden | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haute Lady | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Travel Smart | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Sugar | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valentina Ghada | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lookout Point | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Il Capitano | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Astronomer | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mackinnon | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fowler Blue | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quincey | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Empire’s Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Takeittothebank | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | George Herman Ruth | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | California Kook | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Appreciated | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hapi Hapi | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anitanewmercedes | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Asaro | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Without Malice | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mind Meld | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speeding | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Whopper | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Til I Found You | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gayles Evening | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Del Mar Flash | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emma’s Dance | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Mistress | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dark Prince | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Hoffman | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Railsplitter | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unilateral | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Achilleus | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Full Draw | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Musketier | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Classic | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Very Irish | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lava Lane | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alice Marble | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Capital Heat | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smiling Annie | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ensleys Dream | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trina | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | After Midnight | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Going to Shabooms | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Acai | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Shylock Eddie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fireproof | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tribal Bid | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Miss Carousel | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wipe the Slate | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Code Duello | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charge Cash | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Herd Immunity | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Positivity | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Beat | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sea to Success | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alpine Thunder | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ocean Atlantique | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Soul | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rip City | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K P All Systems Go | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Get Her Number | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sash (GB) | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Poe | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proverb | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Media Blitz | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Me and Mr. C | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Irideo (ARG) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Bing Crosby S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | C Z Rocket | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Schivel | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brickyard Ride | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eight Rings | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vertical Threat | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shooters Shoot | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Law Abidin Citizen | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Tempo | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Collusion Illusion | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Constant Conflict | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | U. S. Danger | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea of Liberty | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trevor T | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carmelita’s Man | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Fast Bro | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foothill | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Signofthecross | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Start a Runnin | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Betito | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bench Judge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rocks and Salt | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Circleofchampions | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.