Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 30, 2021

July 30, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 One Way to Win 1.80 2.1 4-1
3 3 Party of No 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Sir Grayvenscroft 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 One Thou 15.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Big Time Gizmo 1.60 3.8 7-1
1 1 Grand Gizmo 10.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Miriam’s Sky 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Avie’s Mesa 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Florida Won 2.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 English Illusion 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Aheadbyacentury 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Spa Jazz 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Street Legal 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 D’s Ben 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Heydon’s Case 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tahana 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Canadian Secret 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Mia’s Extortionist 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Cat’s Whisper 4.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Robusto 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Hardy Candy 12.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Alpha Predator 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Four Bounce 8.00 2.5 5-1
13 13 Blue Max 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Tape to Tape 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Nonno’s Little Boy 10.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Viature 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Northern Conquest 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 City Legend 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Trebuchet 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Just Start Me Up 20.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Awesomecrest 30.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Justalittlehyper 30.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Mr. Magical 30.00 8.7 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fresh Dreams 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Veil 2.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Twirling Wind 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Five Days in May 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Ladies Signature 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 The Adrie Factor 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Airy Fairy 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fielder 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Solidify 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Reconfigure 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Striking Moon 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Silent Flash 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Barilko 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Souper Success 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 For Kicks 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Sararenda 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Text Me Up 6.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Merino Wool 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 A Little Voodoo 2.00 3 6-1
6 6 Princess Moro 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Calais Cove 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Supplication 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Knopfler 2.00 2 4-1
11 11 Conquer Him 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 The Newfie Express 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Sharp’s River 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Knight Kingdom 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Torah’s Blessing 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Spanish Major 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 White Wedding 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Drone Swarm 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Mayito 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Cash Advance 30.00 8.6 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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