July 30, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One Way to Win | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party of No | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Grayvenscroft | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Thou | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Time Gizmo | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Gizmo | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miriam’s Sky | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Avie’s Mesa | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Florida Won | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | English Illusion | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aheadbyacentury | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spa Jazz | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Legal | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D’s Ben | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heydon’s Case | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tahana | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Secret | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mia’s Extortionist | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cat’s Whisper | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Robusto | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hardy Candy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Alpha Predator | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four Bounce | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Blue Max | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tape to Tape | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nonno’s Little Boy | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Viature | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Conquest | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | City Legend | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trebuchet | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Start Me Up | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Awesomecrest | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Justalittlehyper | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Magical | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fresh Dreams | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Veil | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twirling Wind | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Five Days in May | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ladies Signature | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Adrie Factor | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Airy Fairy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fielder | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solidify | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reconfigure | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Striking Moon | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Flash | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barilko | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Success | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | For Kicks | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sararenda | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Text Me Up | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Merino Wool | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Little Voodoo | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Moro | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calais Cove | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Supplication | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Knopfler | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Conquer Him | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Newfie Express | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp’s River | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knight Kingdom | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Torah’s Blessing | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spanish Major | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | White Wedding | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Drone Swarm | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mayito | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Advance | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.