July 29, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spotted Bull | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mobeatyabad | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Annamated Moon | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Fly Zone | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anzio Beach | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expensive Style | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Enough | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3 | Peculiarity | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | La Familia | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Upcycle | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Tak E Lady | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Why You So Cheap | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Likely Choice | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Zola B | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Babe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Travel Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Alaia Queen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Jordin’s Surprise | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Summer Sweetheart | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Mz | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Instigated | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toga Challenger | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chief Exchanger | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Italian | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iwishiwaspecial | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commander’s Intent | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Street Shark | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2B | 5 | Seanow | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Arcadia Calls | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Brooks Robinson | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Hard Belle | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Fizbo | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Boomer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 4 | Thorny Tale | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Wonder In | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | I Got a Rock | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Gold Rush Dancer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Hello’ndubai | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Encrypted (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 13 | Jammer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Flight Risk | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | You Are Awesome | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | True Grace | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | David’s Prospec | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tappin for Glory | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bronxville | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Enkidu | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Upper Crown | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aldo’s Kitten | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 5 | Dr. Ann | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Don’t Charge It | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Sundrenched | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Colonel Bailey | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Hetty G. | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Mo’s Affair | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Alin Azul | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Janelle Dreams | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pride Leader | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rose of Dublin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Beautiful Wall | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Thundershook | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Youngest of Five | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Right Path | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fortunate Friends | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Federal Case | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | El Samuro | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Maliciosa | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joyce G. | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monkey On My Back | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stillher | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commission Actress | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Enough Kisses | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Normalizeddeviance | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miami Gold | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Svengail | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.