Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 29, 2021

July 29, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Civil Suit 2.50 3.4 7-1
1 1 Morning Addiction 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 4 Coal Shaft 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Flat Out Joy 2.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Royal Blend 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Jamminjl 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Yellow Dress 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Scotish Star (ARG) 1.80 1.1 2-1
6 6 Stellar Sound 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Acting Out 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Bella Vita 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 First Star 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Road Rager 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Babe’s Got Appeal 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Seven Sisters 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Big News Coming 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Island Flight 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Sugar Plum 12.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 So Very Smart 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Livin’ At the Bu 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Supersonic Flyer 3.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Roses for Life 30.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Iconic Storm 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Irish Heatwave 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 First Premio 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Red Storm Risen 3.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Blameless 4.00 3 6-1
9 9 Keystone Field 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Cono 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 King of Speed 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Kazan (IRE) 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Onenightstandards 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Madame Barbarian 1.80 2.5 5-1
9 8 Chollima 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 5 Grazen Honor 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Your Royal Coil 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Kirsch Truffle 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 A J Rock 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Island Life 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Zillinda 20.00 7.3 14-1
10 9 Stradari 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 It’s a Riddle 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 American Bourbon 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Frazzled 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Cecile’s Chapter 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 St Helena 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Chasingserendipity 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Feathers (IRE) 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Plum Sexy 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Bold Article 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Daddy’s Girl 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Did I Stutter 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Ginja 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Lady Mystify 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Lucky Peridot 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Last First Kiss 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 She’s a Dime 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Miss Peaky Blinder 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Starship Sky 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Warren’s Memorable 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Over Attracted 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Brittle and Yoo 4.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Navy Queen 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Listen to Blue 10.00 4 7-1
1 1 Prance 10.00 4 7-1
3 3 Mulligan 3.50 4.1 8-1
10 10 Buy Wave Buy 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Avisse 20.00 6.7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More