July 28, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Franchize Tag | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Separate Effort | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | One Sweet Man | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Dash N Dani | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bjx Supernatural | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | A Sweet Dash | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Eyesa Fast Prize | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Inseperable Miracle | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Olivia B Wagon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jet Black Dolly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Violet Stilettos | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Patriot Day | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flint River Blue | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Makennas Fire | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Me Jettin Yall | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Mountain Pilot | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pyc Lajolla | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chihuahua | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bjs Dragonchik | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carters Chicawa | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Silk of Royalty | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pml Cartel Warrior | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tf El Pistolero | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Heavens Miss Megan | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jewels Struttin | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roc N Bold | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Kue Shot | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Go Little Vick Cash | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prs Straight Money | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Flying Scotsman | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bankin On Ivory | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | La Jetn Cartel | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jess Runaway Cupid | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jet Black Dasher | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cos Im Game | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr Perfect Tlc | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Ladys Cash | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr Tacubaya | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Sweet Attitude | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Attitudes Runnaway | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coronadito | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | He Aint Political | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dynatrain | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Lucia | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ur Louisiana | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jj Freightrain Scor | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sizzzlin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | That Guy Hot | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tf Runaway Cartel | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | San Lorenzo Dash | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jrs Sir Growacet | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Corona Finish | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bustling | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rh Shake Em Dreams | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Feature Mr Louisiana | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jrs Coronas Gatorgal | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Askin for Greatness | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fasttrain B | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fdd Abcallie Grand | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cartel Jr | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Bama Girl | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Get It Done Babe | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hey Girl Hay | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tk Struttin Majestic | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | This Jewel Is Sweet | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nota Ordinary Bear | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Piloto Flying | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lynns Tee Cos Love | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alyssas Boy | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hezaa Fast Boy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fk Highest Flyer | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tf Toast to Whiskey | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seven Tales | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jettin Cartel | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kr Apollitical Chick | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strut for Petes Sake | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toasta Patriot Chick | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tempting Boss Aw | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Savanne | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Toy Guns | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Louisiana Pilot | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brees Tlc | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fastdash These Silks | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eyes of a Cartel | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tdz Playboy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Play Some Blues | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miguelito | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joyride Cash | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trump Card Kkr | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Lydia | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.