Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, July 28, 2021

July 28, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Painted Love 3.00 2.4 4-1
3 1 Menelao 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Majestic Frontier 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Epic Luck 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 2 Speed Dialer 8.00 5.3 10-1
1A 4 Ruben’s Big Legacy 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 1 Buffum’s Beauty 10.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Terp Town 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Scarlet Tanager 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Probably Grace 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Keeper in Spite 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Dat Dares Gold 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Tink 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Alexbabe 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Not Invented Here 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Muchacho Macho 1.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Bella Serena 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Shoulda Had It 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 El Sicario 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Racehorseinared 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Mahaamel (IRE) 1.40 2.1 4-1
7 6 Uncle Cecil 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 7 Galilee 3.50 3 6-1
10 9 Tall Ship 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Chief Reider 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Marconis 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Restless Rocker 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Chain Breaker 20.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Don Ciccio 20.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Natural Appeal 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Susikin 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Memorize 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Kaylie’s Girl 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mary Costa 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Bee’snbee’s 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Chit Chat Girl 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Square Peg 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ephemeral 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Goodbye Carolina 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sailor’s Salute 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Estilo Elegante 5.00 4.3 8-1
11 10 Cocktails At Eight 15.00 7.7 15-1
10 9 Dance So Fre 15.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Truly a Dream 15.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Remarkable Lass 20.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Winningforpleasure 20.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Emme Roo 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tak E Lady 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Summer Sweetheart 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Drink the Tap 30.00 12.3 23-1
14 11 Black Coast 30.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Suiko 2.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Persisto 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Miss Tap Dance 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Charge Account 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Moma Tiger 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 All Good Times 8.00 5 10-1
3 3 Crazy Bea 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Shake D Moon 1.80 1.6 3-1
3 2 Quiet Please 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 3 Bourn Wild Again 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Will Take Roses 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Paolla’s Heart 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mikey’s Jewel 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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