July 28, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Painted Love | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Menelao | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Frontier | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Epic Luck | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Speed Dialer | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Ruben’s Big Legacy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Buffum’s Beauty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Terp Town | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Scarlet Tanager | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Probably Grace | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keeper in Spite | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dat Dares Gold | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tink | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Alexbabe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Not Invented Here | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Muchacho Macho | 1.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Serena | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shoulda Had It | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Sicario | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Racehorseinared | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Mahaamel (IRE) | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uncle Cecil | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Galilee | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tall Ship | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chief Reider | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Marconis | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Restless Rocker | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chain Breaker | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don Ciccio | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Natural Appeal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Susikin | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Memorize | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaylie’s Girl | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mary Costa | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bee’snbee’s | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chit Chat Girl | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Square Peg | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ephemeral | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodbye Carolina | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sailor’s Salute | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Estilo Elegante | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cocktails At Eight | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dance So Fre | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Truly a Dream | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Remarkable Lass | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winningforpleasure | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Emme Roo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tak E Lady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Summer Sweetheart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Drink the Tap | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Black Coast | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Suiko | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Persisto | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Tap Dance | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charge Account | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moma Tiger | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Good Times | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Bea | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Shake D Moon | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Quiet Please | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Bourn Wild Again | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Will Take Roses | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Paolla’s Heart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mikey’s Jewel | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.