Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, July 27, 2021

July 27, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Marianna Queen 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Magicallydelicious 2.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Lady Mistress 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Just a Dream 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Boca Royalty 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Almost Evil 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Shakem 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Glacier Express 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Rules 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Capitan Fofo 2.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Admiral Eastwood 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Sage Canyon 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 The Reign Man 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 El Fenomeno 5.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Dougie 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Little Vinnie 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 El Dulzura 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Bill’s Mafia 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Irish Colonel 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 Big Bad Bud 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Jump Shot 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Took a Cab 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Manahawkin 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Monteleone 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Jupi’s Lightning 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Get the W 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bucks Are Moving 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Speight 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Olympique 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Golden Spoke 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 Comfortably Cool 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Horse Be With You 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Dr Zrada 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Rickie’s Melody 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Bizzy Gillespie 20.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Maclean’s Legacy 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 You Must Chill 1.60 1.5 3-1
1 1 Uncle Ernie 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Get Set 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 I Am Redeemed 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Danzafied 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Wise Jude 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Chrisatude 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Tistaahal 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Nurturing 5.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Speightster’s Gold 3.50 2.9 6-1
9 9 Mishpocha 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Divine Choice 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Barn Queen 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Dauphine 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Superhelpful 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Ciarrai Abu 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Let’s Celebrate 15.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Sour Mash 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Shahaada 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Billieanne 4.50 2 4-1
9 9 Sky Queen 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Finest Work 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Queen of Mine 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Eight Danzas 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Super Duper Fly 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Nyssa 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Brooklyn Heights 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spirit Special 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 E J’s Revenge 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Thomas Knight 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Legacy’s Prince 15.00 4 8-1
6 6 Loverboy Lou 4.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Kristi’s Copilot 8.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Tactical Pursuit (IRE) 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Delinquent 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Kid Mac Cool 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Eddie’s Charge 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Conquistador Show 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Mr. Walsh 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 8 Grandfire 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Maine 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Uncle Tony P 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Lawlessness 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Bavaria 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 The Method 10.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Sailor Again 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bouncing Around 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Sound the Charge 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Over Sensual 5.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Pylon 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Mt Suribachi 3.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Smokum Peace Pipe 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Thank You Ricketts 12.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Dramatized 10.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Court Sky 15.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Abdaa 12.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 Rebel Traveller 15.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Atta Kid 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 The Jones Boy 1.60 SCRATCH
7 7 Judicial Restraint 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rittenhouse 5.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Spirit Wolf 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Theduke of Hazzard 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Tempting the Tiger 8.00 4.3 8-1
13 12 Secret Magician 8.00 5.7 11-1
12 11 City Guy 4.50 5.7 11-1
6 5 Prince Orb 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Mountain Tree 6.00 7 13-1
11 10 Ilovecharlybrown 6.00 7 13-1
7 6 Partner’s Power 15.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 Richie Goes Global 15.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Bridlecrest 20.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Brew Dog 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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4th - 0:00
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Final
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4th - 6:17
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4th - 7:14
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3rd - 8:44
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