July 27, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Docs Sfj | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Freedom | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Mighty Key | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tee Cos Queen | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kas Im Slinky | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canaille | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divide Her Cash | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Senor Tee | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jesse Desire | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Shines | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Runner | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jj Carters Cartel Jr | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Brexit | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shesa Game Changer | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zoomin the Game | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dusting Em | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Wild Game Fortune | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cardi Bee | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devins Secret Jet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hot Girl Summer B | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My High Card | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Bluecorona | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Scarletts Cartel | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Milka Tlc | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Rl Jet Freight | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | San Lorenzo Dash | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chicks First Rocket | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hitt Zum | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Ld Big John Leaving | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Delightful Tee | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ld Cajun Brimmerton | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Boogie Boy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rddjacquiesfastdash | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sheza Triple Vodka | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nice Legs | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Jess Meyers | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cartersdirtymartini | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Chrome Patriot | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Icecoldblood | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gf Farm Lady | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Curls for the Girls | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Charlie | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tarkington Prairie | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Quick Moment | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alekca | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | One Eye Angel | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Fast Dash | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tdz Sir Sash | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Powerhouse Cartel | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tdz Shes a Runaway | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jj Cartel Keepnit | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Fast Elyse | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jet Black Corona | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jj Heza Fast Dash Jr | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apollitical Bug | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sizzlin Grace | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jesstify Your Faith | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awe Y Not Go | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Untouchable Cartel V | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Im That Dove | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Game Win | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Five Bar Memories | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr Sir Runaway Cash | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess Tempting Reb | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tf Rowdy Runaway | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jrs Bayou Tee | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Clave Siete | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gamefaceprize | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Runaway Lucille | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dominate Tres Seis | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rollin Red Clover | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glory Secret | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Candy and Coronas | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bo Up | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rl Blue Train | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bonafyde | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Be Mighty Valiant | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tee Kajun Queen | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bjs Magic Fantasy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bayou Kue | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shu Boppin Samantha | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden High Legs | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Designer Bux | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Ram | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Onefamousgoodbyekiss | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wildandsassy Eagle | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.