Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, July 27, 2021

July 27, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Docs Sfj 1.60 2.1 4-1
6 6 Runaway Freedom 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 One Mighty Key 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Tee Cos Queen 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Kas Im Slinky 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Canaille 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Divide Her Cash 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 El Senor Tee 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jesse Desire 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Cash Shines 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Louisiana Runner 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Jj Carters Cartel Jr 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Brexit 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Shesa Game Changer 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Zoomin the Game 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Dusting Em 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Wild Game Fortune 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 4 Cardi Bee 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Devins Secret Jet 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Hot Girl Summer B 8.00 4 8-1
4 3 My High Card 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Beautiful Bluecorona 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 6 Scarletts Cartel 12.00 6 11-1
7 5 Milka Tlc 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 8 Rl Jet Freight 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 San Lorenzo Dash 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chicks First Rocket 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 Hitt Zum 3.50 3.3 6-1
1A 10 Ld Big John Leaving 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 One Delightful Tee 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ld Cajun Brimmerton 4.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Bayou Boogie Boy 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Rddjacquiesfastdash 12.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Sheza Triple Vodka 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Nice Legs 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Little Jess Meyers 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cartersdirtymartini 3.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 All Chrome Patriot 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Icecoldblood 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Gf Farm Lady 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Curls for the Girls 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Louisiana Charlie 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Tarkington Prairie 12.00 4.5 9-1
10 9 Quick Moment 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 7 Alekca 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 8 One Eye Angel 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Runaway Fast Dash 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Tdz Sir Sash 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Powerhouse Cartel 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Tdz Shes a Runaway 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Jj Cartel Keepnit 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Miss Fast Elyse 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Jet Black Corona 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Jj Heza Fast Dash Jr 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Apollitical Bug 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Sizzlin Grace 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jesstify Your Faith 2.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Awe Y Not Go 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Untouchable Cartel V 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Im That Dove 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Big Game Win 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Five Bar Memories 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Dr Sir Runaway Cash 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Jess Tempting Reb 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Tf Rowdy Runaway 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Jrs Bayou Tee 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Clave Siete 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Gamefaceprize 2.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Runaway Lucille 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Dominate Tres Seis 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Rollin Red Clover 10.00 4 7-1
3 3 Glory Secret 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Candy and Coronas 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Bo Up 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Rl Blue Train 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Bonafyde 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Be Mighty Valiant 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Tee Kajun Queen 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Bjs Magic Fantasy 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Bayou Kue 3.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Shu Boppin Samantha 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Golden High Legs 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Designer Bux 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Miss Ram 20.00 7 13-1
7 7 Onefamousgoodbyekiss 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Wildandsassy Eagle 15.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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