July 25, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Jess Southard | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jess Candy Wagon | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Storman Norman | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sabbatical Jess | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Absolution by Fire | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valtrata | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Docs Best Legend | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Easy Separatist | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Juice Is Loose | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tf Kates Tlc | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Legends On Fire | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovepop | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hes a Kingman | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Jessie Girl | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Str Forged in Fire | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Watch Me Clock Doc | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tell Her Hes Candy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ba First Class Hero | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Casanovas Doll | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lokke Louie | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Favorite Gold Bar | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big N Rick | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Random Affair | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Akhnas | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Make My Year | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Fortunate Son | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nomoremrniceguy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coyote Den | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cool Catomine | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Post Close | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Promising Shoes | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unleash the Beast | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Driven to Compete | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Munnycantbuymelove | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cyclone Sorority | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Golden Day | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ransomed | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Flashback | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nocturnal Mission | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Munny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Ruler | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pickford | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stephen’s Answer | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Barrel | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Station | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tashkent | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Firecracker Stand | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Haley’s Steelman | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy’s Little Tip | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kaluga Bob | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Driver | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crafty Heat | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dazzling Diablo | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ship Boss | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Casanova | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Time Goes On | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jaysker | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Justa Streak | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Eli | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord of the Palace | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Launched | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snap’n Tap | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | New Gospel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Samira | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Delusion | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freeia Tap | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tapit’s Lady | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Centerfold | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Think I Know You | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Remittance Sent | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blaze Away N Hide | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bigmoneyhunny | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prairie Fireball | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cold as You | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Simmering | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.