July 25, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pat’s Factor | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clever and Great | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gallinipper | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stand My Ground | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fused | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo American | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rip It | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irishman | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Melody | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Webb | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fax | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Antipoison | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rush Delivery (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unorthodox | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Le Peace Treaty | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tauber | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kwist | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jammin Still | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Rusty Raymond | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warm Sunny Breeze | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alpha Chi Rho | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gleaming Sword | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lost Uncle | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smitten Enough | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hair of the Dog | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Divine Proportion | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Lew | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baltimore Bud | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flash Is Back | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Majesty | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Lion | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raven Rahy | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Doobiedoobiedoobie | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frankee Merch | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fast Cash | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amen Corner | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Truth Serum | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Swing Your Sword | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New York One | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Lady Magica | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eifs | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Buff’s in Love | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Tina | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Polished Gal | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Caterina One | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Algodonal | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bodes Sunset | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Bustin Hearts | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Princess Killmain | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | R True Sensation | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scarlet Tanager | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Weather Wiz | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solomonic | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rough Sea | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Good Man | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Closer Look | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clubman | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tusk | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Love Dust | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Field Truffle | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dew Dat | 0.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alluring Rumba | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Tizmo | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Trouper | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.