Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 25, 2021

July 25, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Capetown Candy 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Shes a Gift 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 She’sananimal 3.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Blame the Vets 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Overthebluesky 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Challenge Princess 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Tea’s Dream 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Mollies Hope 30.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gigantic 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Texas Playboy 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Mulsanne Run 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Khocu 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sandy Dude 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Fun Loaded 12.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Big Red Style 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Super Q 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Express Pharoah 2.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Suleman 4.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Wolfhand 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Call Bros 4.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Shining Through 8.00 5 9-1
12 11 Majority Rules 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Coltonstheadmiral 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Future Book 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 6 Our Stuie 10.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 El Solitario 20.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Sixty One 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Small Reason 30.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mizzen 1.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 Commissio 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 2 Check Twice 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Elusive Uncaptured 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 4 Sena the Duchess 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Miss Yaya 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 King Ottokar 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Easy Stride 6.00 3.9 7-1
11 9 Complex System 5.00 4.3 8-1
12 10 Calabash 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 8 Honorable 4.50 4.9 9-1
8 7 Guaco 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Deckology 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Freedom’s Flight 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Wise to Listen 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Gege Conquest 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Meteorito 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Poco Charlie 30.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alright Already 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Story Told 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Northern Transit 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Chess Not Checkers 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Awesome Apeal 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Rosy Apple 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Winning At Ease 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Chrome Racer 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Leyenda 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 World Gone Wild 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Include the Beast 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Tap Tap Birdie 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Mangrove Mamma 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Pretzel 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bahamian Beauty 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Uncle Jamo 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Asymptomatic (IRE) 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Lazaretto 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Honesto 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Kurt’s a Keeper 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Al Hilal 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Claude Ray 12.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 On the Engine 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 American of Course 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Miss Mikaela 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Baby Lion 4.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Corey 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Shes All Woman 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Playera 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Miss Italy 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Mony 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Diligent 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Bad Boy E. J. 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Mr. Axel 2.00 4.5 8-1
10 9 Macho Real 12.00 4.5 8-1
9 8 Navajo Creed 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Not So Easy 15.00 7 13-1
5 5 Thenorthremembers 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Venerate 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Berhanu 1.60 SCRATCH
12 12 Treasure Run 30.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Valid Exchange 30.00 10.3 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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