July 25, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bobby Bo | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Who’s the Star | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risk and Reward | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mariners Way | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Affable | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Ziggy | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Drink the Wind | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Murray | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Barossa | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sumter | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Carbonite | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Clampett | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katonah | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hot Box | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gates of Heaven | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gator Shining | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovesick Blues | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exhalting | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cibertruck | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ashley’s Valentine | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crossword | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Beach | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Minehunter | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Carpe Donum | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Major Cabbie | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alexandros | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Littlebitamedal | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bibleman | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colosi | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Buttered Noodles | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liam’s Pride | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Chavo Del Ocho | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | California Street | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Deise Delight (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suki | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbreakable | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Devil | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Viazar | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cinnte Winnte (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Miss Ellie | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Basilia | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Smoothlikebuttah | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lookin So Lucky | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheerful Charm | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daddy’s Girl | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Thirsty Chapo | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Medina Man | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Last Renegade | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I’m Winning | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Big Swede | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | City of Champions | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Gemini Bay | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Awesome Curlin | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Toasted At Dawn | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Socal Red | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Always Litt | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sauls Call | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Floyd Knowles | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Daisycutter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Querelle | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bulletproof One | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Superstition | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Constantia | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bruja Escarlata | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rakassah (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Five Pics Please | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Spirit (GB) | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Never for Money | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lenzi’s Lucky Lady | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sadie Bluegrass | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Acting Out | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Pride | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Howbeit | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colt Fiction | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fashionably Fast | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parsimony | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Dad | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Darnquick | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surfing Star | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – California Dreamin’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | North County Guy | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indian Peak | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brandothebartender | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ward ‘n Jerry | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desmond Doss | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Margot’s Boy | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wound Tight | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Galilean | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Ethos | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Club | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Dynamite Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Can Fly | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B’esame Me Mucho | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rowangoeshollywood | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phoenix Tears | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kind But She Lies | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grigoro | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Siena Silk | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Backtoflash | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | See You At the Top | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cameo Shores | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Twirly Girl | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Soul | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Slewpys Last Song | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.