Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 24, 2021

July 24, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Royal Realm 1.20 2 4-1
6 6 Ashaar 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Giocare 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Prime Time Player 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Good Culture 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Breaking Stones 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Jumpster 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Freedomofthepress 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Lady Valentine 5.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Tracy Flick 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 So Enchanting 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Miss Bonnie T 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sitting Pretty 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Pathetique 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Suffragette 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Unionduesincluded 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cantrell Hill 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Win With Pride 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Strolling 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Alcools 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Popizar 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 The Sicarii 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Universal Payday 8.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lyrical Poet 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Bardolino 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Count Down 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Vodka Lemonade 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Forced 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Tallaj 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Knockout Punch 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Petrus 20.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Clamor 15.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Six Pack 1.60 SCRATCH
8 8 Disciplanarian 20.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Coaching Club American Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Malathaat 0.40 2 4-1
4 4 Clairiere 1.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Maracuja 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Rockpaperscissors 15.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Watasha 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Chileno 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Labarde 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Midnight Worker 6.00 2 4-1
8 7 Volcanic 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 8 Irish Sea 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Bourbon Heist 10.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Fluid Situation 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Faith Runner 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 10 Southern Sense 30.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Fan the Fire 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Space Launch 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Hombre 4.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Munqad 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Calibrate 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sifting Sands (GB) 10.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Performing Arts 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Mira Mission 5.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Future Victory 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Sigiloso 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Dream Big Dreams 20.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Never Explain 30.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Shady McGee (IRE) 30.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Baby Blythe 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Split Then Double (GB) 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Ego Trip (IRE) 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Rastafara (IRE) 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Midnight Choir 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Vintage Style 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Ingress 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Naked On the Beach 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Good Talk 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Amendment Nineteen 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Caramel Swirl 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 7 Flash Magic 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Entreat 10.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 Mucho Macho Momma 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Makingcents 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Glass Ceiling 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Firing Carol 30.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Zainalarab 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Caress S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flower Point 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Robin Sparkles 1.20 2.1 4-1
4 4 In Good Spirits 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Caravel 1.40 2.3 4-1
3 3 Tass 30.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Jakarta 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Lips Are Sealed 1.40 1.8 3-1
8 8 Choose Happiness 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Just Ok Is Not Ok 6.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Mike’s Girl 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mopolka 10.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Electric Youth 10.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Jamaica Joy 12.00 6.2 12-1
7A 7 Cara’s Dreamer 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Unicorn Sally 15.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Freedom Machine 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Emma and I 20.00 9.3 18-1
13A 13 Chasing Cara 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 A Bit o’Irish Sass 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Vallarand 30.00 12.1 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
2nd - 8:37
Details
Halftime
Details
Halftime
Details
Halftime
Details
Details
3rd - 0:58
Details
2nd - 3:02
Details
Details
9:31 3rd
Details
15:03 3rd
Details
Go to Scoreboard