Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 24, 2021

July 24, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vinny 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Local Motive 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Gallant Gold 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sky of Gold 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Epic Rise 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Money Room 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Bald Eagle Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Experienced 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Indian Lake 2.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Wootton Asset (FR) 1.60 3.2 6-1
1 1 Take Profit 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Shackled Love 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Hanford 30.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Zig 1.60 2.3 4-1
2 2 Congress Hall 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Eight Oaks 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Family Fortune 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Sacred Lady 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Arbutus 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Shak’s Hidden Gem 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 So Gracious 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 What a Trick 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Dendrobia 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Golden Can 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Flyingontheground 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Can the Queen 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Pat’s No Fool 15.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Golden G 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Scottsdale 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Zip the Lip 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Get Lit 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Little Bay 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 True Shipman 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Power Back 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Pricey Victory 30.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Big Dreyfus S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sailingintothewind 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 No Mo Lady 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Counterparty Risk (IRE) 1.20 2.9 5-1
3 3 Tightly Twisted 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sister Hanan 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Marlborough Road (IRE) 30.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Miami Mumbles 4.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Shanghaied Astoria 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 U S Constitution 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Artistic Reason 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 2 Depository 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Speightster Red 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Galatians 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Baltimore/washington International Turf Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Field Pass 1.60 2.2 4-1
6 4 Ramsey Solution 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Talk Or Listen (IRE) 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Posterity 30.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Pixelate 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 English Bee 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Extra Medium 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Pascal Chant 1.80 2.7 5-1
3 3 Confusion Baby Boy 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Tom Terrific 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Flat Rate 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Ticker Tape Parade 15.00 3.7 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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