July 24, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vinny | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Local Motive | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gallant Gold | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky of Gold | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Epic Rise | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money Room | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Bald Eagle Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Experienced | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indian Lake | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wootton Asset (FR) | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Profit | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shackled Love | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hanford | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zig | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Congress Hall | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eight Oaks | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Family Fortune | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sacred Lady | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arbutus | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | So Gracious | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What a Trick | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dendrobia | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Can | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flyingontheground | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Can the Queen | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pat’s No Fool | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golden G | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scottsdale | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zip the Lip | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Lit | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Bay | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | True Shipman | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power Back | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pricey Victory | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Big Dreyfus S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sailingintothewind | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Mo Lady | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Counterparty Risk (IRE) | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tightly Twisted | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Hanan | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marlborough Road (IRE) | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Miami Mumbles | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghaied Astoria | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | U S Constitution | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Artistic Reason | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Depository | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Speightster Red | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Galatians | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Baltimore/washington International Turf Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Field Pass | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ramsey Solution | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Talk Or Listen (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Posterity | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pixelate | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | English Bee | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Extra Medium | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pascal Chant | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Confusion Baby Boy | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tom Terrific | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Rate | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ticker Tape Parade | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.