July 24, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Buzz of New York (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rhythm and Grace | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tmorrowisalongtime | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Norma Jean B. | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pop Pop’s Dream | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Diamond | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | High Con | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Workout | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Outlaw | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Terrible Ted | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Awhitesportscoat | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Satchel de Ritches | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prince Ricky | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Take Me for a Spin | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bad Gary | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sea Dreamer | 0.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Velvet Slippers | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Town Sis | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | For Love Not Money | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bonbon | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Socially Smart | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Barbwire | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Offlee Naughty | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywoodhellraisr | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A. P. Pharoah | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tulsa Tornado | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trainer Please | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lone Scout | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just About Enough | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oncoming | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Shackey’s Love | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blue Star | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bold Voyager | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Heir (FR) | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Revisionist | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Inesperado | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Investment Account | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mongol Altai | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Salah | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sponsored | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Ottawa Fire (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Evening Sun (GB) | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Goliad | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Memo Daddy (CHI) | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Exultation | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Southern Horse (ARG) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liar Liar (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | American Dancer | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Uncle Addouma | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dominant Soul | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Vantastic | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fuego Caliente | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Onenightstandards | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Avigale (IRE) | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Honor It | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mirasol | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bicameral | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance to the Music | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mitigation | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brimage | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soul of a Warrior | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peanut Butter Cup | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Eddie Read S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Say the Word | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | United | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Like Strait | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Award Winner | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Count Again | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Restrainedvengence | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vintage Print | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Joe Don Looney | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clem Labine | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Stand Taller | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jazz Hands | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Push to Start | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Prez | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R M C Hook’em | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hammering Lemon | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Intense | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – San Clemente S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Going Global (IRE) | 0.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Madone | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tetragonal (IRE) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pizzazz | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Karakatsie | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Equilove (IRE) | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nimbostratus (FR) | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jibber Jabber (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dramatizer | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Flyer | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Founder’s Day | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Closing Remarks | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Traffic Stopper | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Soulmate | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Passion | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chewy Chewy Good | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angel’s Advocate | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Daring Cat | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Plum Wild | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Run Like Kona | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pasito | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heart River | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Season to Remember | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Verrazano | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.