Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 23, 2021

July 23, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Fed Up Fired Up 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Jumpstartmyheart 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 5 Dancingwithpaynter 3.00 4 8-1
4 2 Don’t Charge It 8.00 4 8-1
10 7 Lake Parima 4.00 5.2 10-1
9 6 Instinctive 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 3 Bird Tycoon 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Rag Top 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Glowing Star 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Fairy Wish 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Don’t Dare Me 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Moonzano 1.60 3.5 7-1
8 8 Dirty Dirty 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Magic of Love 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Pet’s Night 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Harry Hotspur 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 We’re From Bristol 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 I Want More 30.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Philly Creed 2.50 2 4-1
7 6 Merry Mischief 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Bourbon Wildcat 3.50 3.6 7-1
9 8 Runaway Phyllis 12.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Who Knows What 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 2 Tidal Waters 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Island Philo 15.00 5 9-1
6 5 Flava’s Dream 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Bullets Lady 15.00 6 11-1
4 3 Lady Perry 20.00 6.7 13-1
12 11 Diggin for Dough 30.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Salad Days 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Jenna the Boss 4.00 2.4 5-1
8 7 Asbuilt 10.00 3.8 7-1
11 8 Lambeau Lady 2.50 4 8-1
5 4 Great Cause 4.00 4.1 8-1
12 9 Sheriff’s Kid 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Mystic Comin Home 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Sunday in L B C 20.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Adabel 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Merry Maid 30.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Suzzette Star 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Slip Slidin 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ronomes 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Spirit Or Spite 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thirsty Owl 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 One Most Wanted 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Storm Tower 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Favorite Image 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 War Light 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Grecian Pharoah 8.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Sorolla 15.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Honey Island 12.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Ichigo 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Bridge of Hope 20.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Smart Entry 20.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Naked in Cabo 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Grey Giant 20.00 10.3 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Golazo 6.00 3.5 7-1
12 10 Seize the Day 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Sam and Sy 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Championship Alley 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Sing a Verse 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Tale of Dixie 20.00 6.4 12-1
11 9 El Rojo 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 4 Gator Fifty Two 15.00 8.2 15-1
9 7 Justice of War 15.00 8.4 16-1
10 8 Outside the Box 20.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Frankee Merch 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Amen Corner 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Judi Blue Eyes 1.80 2.1 4-1
5 2 Giulia Ammannati 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 5 Quiet Company 4.00 4.1 8-1
9 6 Kiss the Girl 4.50 5.2 10-1
6 3 Carolina Ice 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 Money Fromheaven 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Persisto 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 I’m Listening 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Keltoi 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Pat’s No Fool 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Everett’s Song 0.60 1.1 2-1
2 2 American d’Oro 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Pederson’s Courage 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Tradition 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Awesome Dynamo 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Rippolino 10.00 4.3 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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