July 23, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Fed Up Fired Up | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jumpstartmyheart | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Dancingwithpaynter | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Don’t Charge It | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Lake Parima | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Instinctive | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bird Tycoon | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rag Top | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Glowing Star | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fairy Wish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Dare Me | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonzano | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dirty Dirty | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic of Love | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pet’s Night | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harry Hotspur | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We’re From Bristol | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Want More | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Philly Creed | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Merry Mischief | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bourbon Wildcat | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Runaway Phyllis | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Who Knows What | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tidal Waters | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Island Philo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flava’s Dream | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bullets Lady | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Perry | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Diggin for Dough | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salad Days | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Jenna the Boss | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Asbuilt | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Lambeau Lady | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Great Cause | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Sheriff’s Kid | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mystic Comin Home | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunday in L B C | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adabel | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Merry Maid | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Suzzette Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Slip Slidin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ronomes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Spirit Or Spite | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thirsty Owl | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Most Wanted | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Tower | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Favorite Image | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Light | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grecian Pharoah | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sorolla | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Honey Island | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ichigo | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bridge of Hope | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Smart Entry | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Naked in Cabo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Grey Giant | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Golazo | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Seize the Day | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sam and Sy | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Championship Alley | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sing a Verse | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of Dixie | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | El Rojo | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gator Fifty Two | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Justice of War | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Outside the Box | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frankee Merch | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Amen Corner | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Judi Blue Eyes | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Giulia Ammannati | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Quiet Company | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Kiss the Girl | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Carolina Ice | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Money Fromheaven | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Persisto | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | I’m Listening | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Keltoi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pat’s No Fool | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Everett’s Song | 0.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American d’Oro | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pederson’s Courage | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tradition | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Dynamo | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rippolino | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.