Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 22, 2021

July 22, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Abbaa 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Lenches Gimme 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Thor’s Thunder 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Gizmo Flash 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Two Timing 20.00 5 10-1
5 5 Subzero Plus 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cheek to Cheek 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Mighty Judge 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Court Battle 3.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Proliferate 1.80 4.9 9-1
4 4 O’Kratos 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Blockbuster 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Artistico 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Hallie’s Hero 12.00 7.1 14-1
8 8 Drena’s Bullet 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 Am Prepared 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ben Lomond 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dot’s Vision 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Badjeros Boy 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 4 R U Watchingbud 3.00 3 6-1
7 5 Victor’s Way 6.00 4 8-1
3 2 Hurricane Dancer 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Victor’s Destiny 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Our Zuma 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Pink Lemonade 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Queen Beach 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Papa’s Silver 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Jungle Goddess 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Born to Be Good 4.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 A Bit of Sunshine 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Bearthestorm 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Bella Lalou 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Cocotara 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Drumgreenaghbridge 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Sparkisha 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Splendida 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Let’s Get It Did 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Kecameifyoucan 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Curt’s Angel 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Dancing Zazinga 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Queen Licia 3.00 5 9-1
1 1 Bring Da Fudge 3.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Sea of Diamonds 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Audition 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Federal Court 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ozaya 1.80 2.9 5-1
8 8 Zia Mo 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Amalfi Sky 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Big Ginger 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 In My Opinion 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Raven Echo 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Chasing Shadows 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Bahia Girl 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fancysoul 3.00 3 6-1
8 8 Relentless Ruby 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Jocassee 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Knew as a Breeze 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Elusive Society 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Admonish 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Hollywood Ring 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Sky of Dreams 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Endorphin Rush 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Gea 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Dad’s Missy 3.50 3.9 7-1
11 10 Sararenda 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Sadie Irene 4.50 5.6 11-1
6 5 Merino Wool 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Misguided Passion 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 3 Onezy’s Dream 20.00 7.7 14-1
7 6 Someone Else 10.00 7.8 15-1
3 2 Northern Ruby 10.00 7.9 15-1
5 4 Daisy Jane 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Sea Lily 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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