Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 19, 2021

July 19, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Abhaile 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Mani Pedi 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Flyin It 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Quiet Please 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 American Money 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Presto Change O 10.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rittenhouse 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Theduke of Hazzard 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 City Guy 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Tempting the Tiger 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Partner’s Power 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Ilovecharlybrown 6.00 5 10-1
1 1 Richie Goes Global 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miss Loyalty 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Gypsy Janie 2.00 3 6-1
7 7 Sizzling Roma 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Baby Ice 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Verrazano Vittoria 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Jumpin Jett 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Stormbeam 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 I’m Thirsty 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dr. Devera’s Way 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Wild Haven 4.50 3 6-1
8 8 Champers 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Bob’s My Uncle 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Big City Ralph 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Truly a Moon Shot 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Tactical Pursuit (IRE) 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Get the W 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Boat Over the Hill 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Starinthemaking 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Heart of a Dreamer 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Good Good 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 King’s Gold 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Worth His Salt 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Mach Trial 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shahaada 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Finest Work 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Super Duper Fly 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Billieanne 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Nyssa 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Brooklyn Heights 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Eight Danzas 6.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tistaahal 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Hilltop Honey 8.00 6.2 12-1
16 16 Sour Mash 4.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Divine Choice 6.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Nurturing 3.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Speightster’s Gold 4.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Mishpocha 6.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Dauphine 12.00 8.4 16-1
14 14 Let’s Celebrate 10.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Dance So Fre 20.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Eliana’s Mission 20.00 10.4 20-1
13 13 Blazing Diva 20.00 10.8 20-1
10 10 Pretty Spectacular 8.00 10.9 21-1
11 11 Ciarrai Abu 12.00 11.4 22-1
9 9 Treasure Seeker 20.00 11.8 22-1
15 15 Beautiful Estrella 20.00 11.9 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fore Harp 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Unimpeachable 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Bode O 2.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Ruffy 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Ash of My Enemy 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Go Lime 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Dr Zrada 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Impossebull 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Joe the Boss 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 I Am Redeemed 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Strawberry Red 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Get Set 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Wise Jude 4.50 4.8 9-1
10 10 Pylon 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Danzafied 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Mead Hall 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Kidnapped 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Chrisatude 12.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Our Philly Special 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jammin Jimtown 1.60 3.8 7-1
9 9 Nileator 4.50 5 9-1
5 5 D T Goodie 4.00 5.1 10-1
13 13 Nobiz Like Jetbiz 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Legal Gump 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Kingsville 2.50 6 11-1
1 1 Abdaa 8.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Call Wil 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Spikes Shirl 8.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 My Amanjena 12.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Cantstoprunning 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Under the Graydar 20.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Mission Oberon 20.00 9.2 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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