Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 19, 2021

July 19, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blj Eye Know Secret 4.00 2 4-1
8 7 Jrs Heza Hot Tee 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Text Me Texas 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Jm Savior 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Met At Jury Duty 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Ib Da Cartel Leader 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Tee Freesia 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Monkey Chic 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Cm Anna Marie 20.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Louisiana Whiskey 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Abygale 1.80 1.5 3-1
6 6 Jess Louisiana Boo 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Louisiana Dove 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Cash Snow 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Shesa Game Changer 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Jonneysjumpin 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Apolitical Ivory 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Apollitical Follie 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Princess Win a Lota 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Im Leavin Zoomin 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Chloes Prize 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Cosicandash 10.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Holland Avery 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Aint Eye Special 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ttt Selene 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Lhtopsey Gal 1.80 2.5 5-1
3 3 Rh Bernalita 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 One Delightful Tee 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Wow What a Chic 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ms Vay Dell 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Ttt Eileithyia 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Tip Fer 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rios Diamond Tee 3.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Blew Duck 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Ccr Cook Wagon 1.80 3 6-1
4 4 Hez Fast 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Lrh Mojo Kat 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Lil Ms B 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Ll Alyssa Avery 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 De Tanyas Cartel 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Charge Lika Cat 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Runacrossyourmind 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 One Sweet Rhapsody 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Rolling to a Stop 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Always Ace 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 One Sweet Playboy 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Sheza Classy Rogue 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Cr Mr Red 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Lina Three Chick 12.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Jess a Sweet Cat 15.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Jess Tiz an Ocean 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Rosies Cute Girl 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sarahs Patriot 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Royal Jumpn King 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Gt Is Earls Legacy 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Ponookies Fast Cash 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Party Maker 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Hez Jess Runaway 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Changing the Game 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 My Buddy Blue 15.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Bayou Boogie Boy 20.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Zoomin Dash 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Roulette Tlc 5.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Rl Strikeback 3.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Temptastic 1.80 3.2 6-1
8 8 Secrets Runaway 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Tg Miss Corona 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Gia Dashing Bye 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 The Copilot 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Rocking Bar 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Louisiana Pawn 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Open Bar Mc 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Derby) – Firecracker Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dirtwater Dash 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Fear the Dragon 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Pops First Lady 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Hennessy Xo Tlc 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Sirprince Knockout 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Hes Innocent 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Diane to Be a Hero 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Kk Blue Wagon 15.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Lucchesse 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Synergized 20.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
Halftime
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Final
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4th - 0:31
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3rd - 0:52
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4th - 10:22
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3rd - 0:00
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2nd - 0:00
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2nd - 0:00
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2nd - 7:51
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