July 19, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blj Eye Know Secret | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jrs Heza Hot Tee | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Text Me Texas | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jm Savior | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Met At Jury Duty | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ib Da Cartel Leader | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tee Freesia | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Monkey Chic | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cm Anna Marie | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Whiskey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Abygale | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Louisiana Boo | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Dove | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Snow | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shesa Game Changer | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jonneysjumpin | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Apolitical Ivory | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Apollitical Follie | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Win a Lota | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Im Leavin Zoomin | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chloes Prize | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cosicandash | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holland Avery | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aint Eye Special | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ttt Selene | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lhtopsey Gal | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rh Bernalita | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Delightful Tee | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wow What a Chic | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Vay Dell | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ttt Eileithyia | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tip Fer | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rios Diamond Tee | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blew Duck | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ccr Cook Wagon | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hez Fast | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lrh Mojo Kat | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lil Ms B | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ll Alyssa Avery | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | De Tanyas Cartel | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charge Lika Cat | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runacrossyourmind | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | One Sweet Rhapsody | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rolling to a Stop | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Always Ace | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Sweet Playboy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sheza Classy Rogue | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cr Mr Red | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lina Three Chick | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jess a Sweet Cat | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jess Tiz an Ocean | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rosies Cute Girl | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sarahs Patriot | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Jumpn King | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gt Is Earls Legacy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ponookies Fast Cash | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Party Maker | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hez Jess Runaway | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Changing the Game | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Buddy Blue | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Boogie Boy | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zoomin Dash | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Roulette Tlc | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rl Strikeback | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Temptastic | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secrets Runaway | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tg Miss Corona | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gia Dashing Bye | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Copilot | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rocking Bar | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Louisiana Pawn | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Open Bar Mc | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Derby) – Firecracker Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dirtwater Dash | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fear the Dragon | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pops First Lady | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hennessy Xo Tlc | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sirprince Knockout | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hes Innocent | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diane to Be a Hero | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kk Blue Wagon | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucchesse | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Synergized | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.