Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 18, 2021

July 18, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mizzona 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Simply Mysterious 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Modus Operandi 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Finding Perfection 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 H Is Just a Number 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Finest Jewel 6.00 5 10-1
4 4 Future Games 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Beau’s Beauty 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dr. Jewel 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Salty Candy 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Abraxas 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Heehaa 4.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Hit This Town 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Highland Society 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Souper Size It 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Bullet Speed 3.50 4.9 9-1
9 9 He’s a Topper 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Speedy Hans 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Aim for the Sky 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Torontotoro 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Flying Curlin 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Ritmo de Cueca (ARG) 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Parmigiano 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Seau 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Mason’s Gamble 4.50 1.7 3-1
9 7 Tomcat Black 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Priceless Will 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 2 Muskoka Giant 6.00 3.4 7-1
5 3 Wheres My Halter 10.00 4.5 9-1
11 9 James Bay 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 8 Ante Up Alex 15.00 6 11-1
7 5 Bokermin 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 6 Perfect Crime 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Shakoo Makoo 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Executive Search 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ima Beast 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Hello Friends 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Millennium Force 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Silver Dahlia 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Forest Drift 10.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Sunsprite 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Mrs. Del 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Systemic Risk 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 I’ll Take the Gold 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Bobbi’s Legacy 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Feelthebeat 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bet 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Stylish Gent 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Ironstone 6.00 4.2 8-1
13 12 Hey Mickey 10.00 4.2 8-1
11 10 Thrill of the Day 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Mentoring 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Heat Merchant 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Wicked Crazy 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Wild River Wolf 20.00 7.5 14-1
12 11 Pot Committed 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Lithuanian King 20.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Midnight Ramblin 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Connaught Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Avie’s Flatter 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Chuck Willis (IRE) 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Gray’s Fable 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Silent Poet 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Olympic Runner 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Tap It to Win 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Eskiminzin 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Proven Strategies 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Holiday Stone 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Taos (FR) 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Corduroy Road 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Money Ride 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Threshold 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Lapochka 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Carmenootz 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Coleyville 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Desolator 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Gigantic Breeze 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Full Extreme 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Old Chestnut 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Roaring Forties 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Nevaeh’s Dream 6.00 3.8 7-1
12 11 Wedgewood 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Marten River 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Clear Destination 15.00 5.7 11-1
11 10 Entry to Heaven 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Silent Jimmie 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Honey Won’t 20.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Forester’s Fortune 20.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Alicia’s Kid 20.00 9 17-1
10 10 Lookinatamiracle 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Strike a Beat 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Artie My Boy 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Final Eclipse 6.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Grazely 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Flex 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Siakam 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Lil Bit Gangsta 12.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Liars Club 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Summer Load 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Jmr Pure Sensation 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 L’Etat (GER) 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Westlodge Intrigue 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Sparkle Sammy 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Factoring 4.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Ima Daredevil 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Miss Ariel 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Grateful Praise 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Desert Poem 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Hassah (GB) 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Fashion Flirt 20.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Express Banking 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Floki 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Avie’s Sky 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Ride the Wind 3.00 3.3 6-1
13 13 Musical Ride 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Classy Gizmo 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Speedy Lynn 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Reload the Bank 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 A. A. Fast Lida 10.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Crimson Invasion 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Red Fuji 20.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Ms. P’s Bella 30.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Leaveyoubreathless 30.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Wicked Miah 30.00 8.4 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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