Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 18, 2021

July 18, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 West Crest Offense 1.80 1.7 3-1
4 4 Sweet Game Chick 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Cartel Doug 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Louisiana Wagon 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Trs Justaclassy Barb 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Rmlilkoolprincess 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Painted Shell Drive 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 No Torious 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 The Valiant King 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Kasens Shadow 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Fools Cartel 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 First Flowin 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Sniper Chick 5.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 My Solid Return 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sheza Fast Return 2.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Kaiges Prize 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Power of Royalty 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Whipperwilltripp 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Leave of Absence 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Shes a Tough Soldier 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Bhr Kacey Long Dash 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Dance Doctor 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 4 Theboyfromjersey 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Silver and Aces 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 One Stop Shop 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Chuckmate 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Courageous Dude 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Itsallaboutyou 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Domikate 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 John R 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Discreet Invasion 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Mr. Solo 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Shweet Persuasion 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 American Sanctuary 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Bork 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 5 Mucho Gifted 3.50 2 4-1
7 6 Cool Creed 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Iowa Class 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Full Buck Moon 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Oh Little Brutha 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Allen’s Rocket 1.80 1.8 3-1
5 5 Lucky Louie 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Night Terror 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Stage Door 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Ginger Rules 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Years Fly By 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Bet You a Beer 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Coco Tiger 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 King Deuce 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Corot 4.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Fearless Will 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Knight Disruptor 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Fayette Warrior 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Baudette Blizzard 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gold Maker 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Sparkle O Mine 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Bug a Boo 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Olive Oyl 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Shimmering Dream 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Mayan Sky 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Miss Lein 8.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mighty Ghost 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Back the Blue 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Poderoso Equs 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Roller 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Take That for Data 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Sir Brahms 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Kid’s Mischief 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Hardly Seen Slim 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Two Pair 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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