Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 18, 2021

July 18, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Bosconovitch 0.80 2.2 4-1
5 5 Mexicali Rose 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Peace Out 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Hashtag Lucky 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Tipsy Tourist 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Dulce Kiara 10.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Manicomio 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Blue Sky Painter 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Twitty City 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Lost My Vowcher 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Commanding General 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Aperitivo 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 My Sacred Place 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Olive Kat 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Fast Lani 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 6 Buff’s in Love 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Unaquoi 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 2 Foggy Dreams 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Shyla Girl 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Decoupage 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Brutus 1.80 1.9 4-1
5 4 Dashing Lou 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Hayne’s Fever 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Charging Lion 5.00 4 8-1
3 2 Glengar 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Savvy Street 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Bahama Channel 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Leia Organa 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Fox Force Five 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Notion Interruptus 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Pau Hana 2.00 4 8-1
6 5 Love My Cat 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Monster Rising 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Naughty Notion 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 Blaze Finery 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Kinda Lucky 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Eastern Bay 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Wondrwherecraigis 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 War Tocsin 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Arthur’s Hope 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Whiskey and You 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Kenny Had a Notion 10.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Joyful Noise 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Stay Out 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Promenade Princess 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Silent Fluidity 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Awesome Pal 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Calypso Ghost 6.00 4 7-1
3 3 Bustin Hearts 8.00 5 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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