July 18, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Bosconovitch | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mexicali Rose | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peace Out | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hashtag Lucky | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tipsy Tourist | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dulce Kiara | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Manicomio | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Sky Painter | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twitty City | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lost My Vowcher | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Commanding General | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aperitivo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Sacred Place | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Olive Kat | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fast Lani | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Buff’s in Love | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unaquoi | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Foggy Dreams | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shyla Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Decoupage | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Brutus | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dashing Lou | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hayne’s Fever | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Charging Lion | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Glengar | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Savvy Street | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bahama Channel | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Leia Organa | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fox Force Five | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notion Interruptus | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pau Hana | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Love My Cat | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Monster Rising | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Naughty Notion | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blaze Finery | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kinda Lucky | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eastern Bay | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wondrwherecraigis | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Tocsin | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arthur’s Hope | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey and You | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kenny Had a Notion | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Joyful Noise | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stay Out | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promenade Princess | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Fluidity | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Pal | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calypso Ghost | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Hearts | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.