Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 18, 2021

July 18, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Palimonium 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Globes 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 C My Meister 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Canaan 4.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Harry’s Onthebeach 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Classic Film 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Backatya 15.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Kitodan 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Winging It 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fivefive Six Champ 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Pharaoh’s Prophecy 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 October Time 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 More Adventurous 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Clapton 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bad Gus 20.00 11.2 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cozy Cafe 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 My Beauty Princess 1.60 2.9 5-1
4 4 Toolegittoquit 5.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 J D’s Vista 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Fastlife 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Aspropodia 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Illusions of Love 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Bordeaux Legacy 30.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Brasstown 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Blessed Journey 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Royal Squeeze 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Tony Small 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Devoted Kitten 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Causalistic 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Il Faraone 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Trappezoid 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Whirl Candy 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 4 Twice too Many 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 6 The Great Oz 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Alado 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Dalio 10.00 6 11-1
7 5 Jump Back Jack 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Heals the Soul 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Big Red Style 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alastor 4.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Ranger Up 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Strong Ending 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Ninetydaysofwinter 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Please Sit Down 3.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Prospect Project 12.00 5 9-1
9 9 Tons of Gold 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Nimble Beast 15.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Uncaptured King 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Ingreido 20.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Power (BRZ) 30.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Uncle Kevin 30.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mercy Mercy 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Sugar Fix 1.80 2.9 5-1
2 2 Zodiac Princess 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 R Calli Kim 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Isadorable Aida 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Money Factor 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Afficionado (FR) 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tonalist’s Shape 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Crumb Bun 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Our Fantasy 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Starship Nala 6.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Don’t Get Khozy 3.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Starship Bonita 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Templet 2.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 New York Style 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Complex System 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Broadway Pete 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Sovereign Warrior 6.00 4 7-1
8 8 Kramden 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Spend Benjamins 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Cuy 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Poco Charlie 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Wandering West 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Front Loaded 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 7 Pudding 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Rebelde 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Malibu Max 6.00 5 10-1
7 6 Septemberten 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Diamonds Enjoy 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Speargun 8.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 With Verve 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hustle Queen 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Uptown Queen 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Kick Out the Jams 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Quiet Strength 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Rubyinthestars 10.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Twicefourteen 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Tizofadeal 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Lyla’s Mark 30.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Our Girl 30.00 8.7 17-1
10 10 Blue Eye Kitten 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sugar On Top 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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