July 18, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Palimonium | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Globes | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | C My Meister | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Canaan | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harry’s Onthebeach | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Film | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backatya | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kitodan | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Winging It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fivefive Six Champ | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pharaoh’s Prophecy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | October Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | More Adventurous | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Clapton | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bad Gus | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cozy Cafe | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Beauty Princess | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toolegittoquit | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J D’s Vista | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fastlife | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aspropodia | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Illusions of Love | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bordeaux Legacy | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brasstown | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Journey | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Squeeze | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tony Small | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devoted Kitten | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Causalistic | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Il Faraone | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trappezoid | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Whirl Candy | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Twice too Many | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | The Great Oz | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alado | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dalio | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jump Back Jack | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heals the Soul | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Big Red Style | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alastor | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ranger Up | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Ending | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ninetydaysofwinter | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Please Sit Down | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prospect Project | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tons of Gold | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nimble Beast | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Uncaptured King | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ingreido | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Power (BRZ) | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Kevin | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mercy Mercy | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Fix | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zodiac Princess | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Calli Kim | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Isadorable Aida | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Money Factor | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Afficionado (FR) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tonalist’s Shape | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crumb Bun | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Fantasy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Nala | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Get Khozy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Bonita | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Templet | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | New York Style | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Complex System | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broadway Pete | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sovereign Warrior | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kramden | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spend Benjamins | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cuy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Poco Charlie | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Wandering West | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Front Loaded | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pudding | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rebelde | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Malibu Max | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Septemberten | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Diamonds Enjoy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speargun | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | With Verve | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hustle Queen | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uptown Queen | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kick Out the Jams | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Strength | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rubyinthestars | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twicefourteen | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizofadeal | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lyla’s Mark | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Girl | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blue Eye Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sugar On Top | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.