Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 18, 2021

July 18, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Eddiespaghetti 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Barsabas 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 State of the Union 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 You’re My Boy Kat 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Takeittothebank 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Sip Sip Hooray 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Falcon Ex 12.00 5 10-1
5 5 Tee Shot 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Red Valor 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Cajun Treasure 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Self Taught 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Hold Me Black 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Dark Hedges 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Camby 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Stay Happy 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Invincibella (GB) 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Nightlife 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Loud Loud Music 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Gypsy Blu 4.00 4 7-1
2 2 Beautiful Ballad 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Summer Love 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Anonymously 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Lavender (IRE) 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 I’m the Hero 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 On Deck 20.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Showmethemagic 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sally Stanford 1.60 1.3 2-1
3 3 Smart Monique 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Dreamer Girl 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Miss Shady 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 My Sweet Mary 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Cute Impact 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Blueberry Eyes 10.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Big Fame 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Assunta 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Go Big Blue Nation 1.80 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lady Noguez 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 5 Scherzo (GB) 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Kuora (PER) 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Miss Bella Ciao 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Star of Africa 6.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Cover Version 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Hollywood Girl 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jan Jan Can 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Dozo 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Cowboys Daughter 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Miss Alegria 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Flatterwithjewels 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Illapawnie 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Malibu Mistress 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Win Often 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Wickerr S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Neptune’s Storm 1.60 3.1 6-1
1 1 Homer Screen (BRZ) 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Bob and Jackie 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 Next Shares 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Tiz Plus 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Count of Amazonia (IRE) 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Majestic Eagle 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Border Town 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bonita Leona 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Ko Olina 1.80 2.5 5-1
1 1 Busker Allie 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Warren’s Showgirl 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Warren’s Queen Bee 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Big Shamrock 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Sue Ettas Ghost 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Preskitt 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Lilly Babe 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sarsaparilla (GB) 5.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Thrilling 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Liv and Let Liv 5.00 5 9-1
9 9 Nu Pi Lambda 6.00 5 10-1
10 10 Anna Fantastic 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Angelcents 8.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Majestic Steps (IRE) 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Storming Lady 12.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Founder’s Day 20.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Fantasy Heat 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Lenzi’s Lucky Lady 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Cougar Ii S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tizamagician 1.60 1.6 3-1
5 5 Cupid’s Claws 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Red King 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Heywoods Beach 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Contagion 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Campaign 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Burgoo Alley (IRE) 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Lady Emily 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Can’thelpfallin (IRE) 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Javanica 3.50 4.3 8-1
11 11 Midnight Diva 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Bleu Ballon 6.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Carpe Fortuna 8.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Cider Apple (GB) 10.00 8 15-1
2 2 Go Greta (GB) 15.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Get On the Bus 15.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Styledome (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Jibber Jabber (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Flowers for K K 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Absolute Scenes (IRE) 20.00 10.6 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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