July 17, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Oxide | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Even Thunder | 1.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Coal Truth | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Confessor | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Weather Wiz | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Welling | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Malibu Beauty | 1.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fifteen Royals | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | A. P. Princess | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Caught Up in You | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | We Miss Susie | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Exotic Cat | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Closertotheheart | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bohemia Babe | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Farcical | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Steely Band | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Memories Eternal | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ides of March | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Smarty | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kinda Lucky | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | World Party | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gathered Flowers | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Drink the Tap | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rattlesnake Ridge | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Interventio | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Americano | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Striking Heir | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fifty | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inside Risk | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Galloping Mischief | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Gems | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Portal One | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jammin Still | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Padrino’s Heart | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American River (VEN) | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dragon Moon | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sarasota Boy | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cashing Big Checks | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Bid | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Dragon Queen | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Boss | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luckbealadytonight | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Frontier | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Tap | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Grace | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doc Girl | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strongerthanuknow | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chromeplated Heart | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danessa Baby | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stir Crazy | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wrapper Rule | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unrequited Love | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jenn’s the Boss | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Verbien O. P. | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glittering Judy | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maid the Journey | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | More Than Miles | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weight of Glory | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purrs Well | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star of Normandy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nothin Really | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.