Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 16, 2021

July 16, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Frat Party 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Canadian Secret 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 5 Act of Bob 3.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Sterling Ice 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Jersey Diamond 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Dark Ale 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Lead Director 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 No Tolerance 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Party of No 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 One Way to Win 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Big Boy Benny 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Calming Influence 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Knotty by Design 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Pool Side 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Souper Best Bet 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miriam’s Sky 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Avie’s Mesa 1.40 2.2 4-1
6 6 I Idolize You 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Street Legal 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Red Bo 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Heydon’s Case 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 First Spring 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Right to Strike 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Sharp’s River 3.50 3.8 7-1
13 11 Baytown Finley 10.00 4.5 9-1
10 9 Gendragon 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Miraculous Brew 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Chairman Fox 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Grand Gizmo 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Pouroso 20.00 6.9 13-1
12 10 Paternoster 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Hyper Willy 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 5 Cardiff Hall 20.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Sea Scout 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Valuable Pillow 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Moksgmol 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Divine Martha 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 The Good Witch 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Wake Up Maggie 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Bonnie Lee 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Hello Annie 10.00 4 7-1
2 2 Sea Anna Dream 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Very Savvy 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Upstart Gentleman 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Dance Some Mo 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Cruden Bay 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Harlan Estate 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Decimator 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Lumberjack 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 One Flint 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Frosted Icing 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 6 Riptide Rock 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Comedy Town 1.20 2.5 5-1
4 3 Al Heybay 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Commander Tom 20.00 5 9-1
6 5 Unlimited Talent 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Lucky Score 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Knopfler 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Daddyplaystheblues 3.50 3.6 7-1
11 11 Self Inflicted 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Insider Trading 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Stop the Humbug 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Society Joe 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Pugin 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 Knight Kingdom 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Dr Chappell 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Conquer Him 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 White Wedding 20.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 The Newfie Express 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
Go to Scoreboard