Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 16, 2021

July 16, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kyosha 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 8 Square Penny 1.40 6.3 12-1
4 4 Peachy Between Us 2.50 7.7 14-1
7 6 Missawlet 15.00 7.9 15-1
9 7 Ask Nicely 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Fillmore East 6.00 8 15-1
1 1 Looks Don’t Lie 6.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Veryan 20.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Diggin for Dough 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Heat Index 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lady Perry 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Island Philo 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mayfield of Dreams 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Post Box 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Charliv 5.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Indehere 30.00 12.7 24-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Buff My Boots 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Hit a Homer Honey 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Still Doing Time 1.40 2.9 5-1
6 6 Tanka Tough 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 No More Mask 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Insane Sister 10.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Fair Catch 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 7 Jack Bo 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 4 Godlovesasinner 5.00 5.2 10-1
11 9 South Sea 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Hard Fought 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Railmaster 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 6 Battlebus 4.50 6.4 12-1
7 5 Gins and Tins 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 3 Backwoods Boogie 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Belle Tapisserie 1.60 SCRATCH
4 4 Wonder In 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 No Longer Silent 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Talented Dr. B 2.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Big Hambone 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Rock and Fellers (ARG) 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Victory Given 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Smart Step 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mystic Times 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Proud Enough 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Map the Moment 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Ghost Maiden 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Except Temptation 2.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Forever Dreaming 4.50 5.3 10-1
8 8 Expect the Sunrise 15.00 6.7 13-1
15 10 Bella Coola 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Jungle Flower 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Pounding Music 8.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Amplio Esquema 6.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Polish Cookie 15.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Peace Out 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fire in the Hole 1.80 SCRATCH
12 12 Nicolar 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bella Thyme 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Broadway Melody 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Bella Bettina 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Claire’s Darling 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Mavilus 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Shackaboom 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Sublimity 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Solea 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Ms Headley 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Suzzette Star 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Utterly Enchanting 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Perfume River 10.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Prinecess Doir 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Mosalah 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 2 Beckon 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Magical Mesa 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Gimme’s Goldengirl 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 Oil On Canvas 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Dancing Til Dusk 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mosler’s Image 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 El Equalizer 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 4 Cosa Mas Linda 1.60 2.3 4-1
4 3 Day of Honor 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Transfer the Funds 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Raeford 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Fading Scars 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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