July 16, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kyosha | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Square Penny | 1.40 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peachy Between Us | 2.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Missawlet | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ask Nicely | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fillmore East | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Looks Don’t Lie | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veryan | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diggin for Dough | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Heat Index | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lady Perry | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Island Philo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mayfield of Dreams | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Post Box | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Charliv | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Indehere | 30.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Buff My Boots | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hit a Homer Honey | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Still Doing Time | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tanka Tough | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No More Mask | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Insane Sister | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Fair Catch | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jack Bo | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Godlovesasinner | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | South Sea | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Fought | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Railmaster | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Battlebus | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gins and Tins | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Backwoods Boogie | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Belle Tapisserie | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wonder In | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | No Longer Silent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Talented Dr. B | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Hambone | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock and Fellers (ARG) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victory Given | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Step | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Times | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proud Enough | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Map the Moment | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ghost Maiden | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Except Temptation | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Dreaming | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Expect the Sunrise | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | Bella Coola | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jungle Flower | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pounding Music | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amplio Esquema | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Polish Cookie | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Peace Out | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fire in the Hole | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Nicolar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bella Thyme | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Broadway Melody | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bella Bettina | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Claire’s Darling | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mavilus | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shackaboom | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sublimity | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Solea | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Headley | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suzzette Star | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Utterly Enchanting | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Perfume River | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prinecess Doir | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mosalah | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beckon | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Mesa | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gimme’s Goldengirl | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Oil On Canvas | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Til Dusk | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mosler’s Image | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | El Equalizer | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cosa Mas Linda | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Day of Honor | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Transfer the Funds | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Raeford | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fading Scars | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.