Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 15, 2021

July 15, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Louisiana Fire 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Gold Digger Donna 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Waving Chick 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Fast Prize Legacy 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Rdd Dashin Queen 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Britaney Lyn 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 A Dash of Jambalaya 15.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 She Likes It Rough 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Savannahs Cashcartel 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Copper Speed Rocket 1.80 1.7 3-1
1 1 Jess Catch This 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Rl First Homerun 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Runaway Rough 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Bt Freak It 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Point Break Country 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Tdz Bluecajunplayer 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tt Gray Cartel 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Shezadashingreatness 4.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Jet Black Runner 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Istolicorona 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Maglev Dash 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Bears Fast Dash 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Cartel in the Bayou 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Sizzlin Buckey 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Shazam a Corona Girl 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Bos Gone Rogue 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Midnight Biscuit 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Heza Streakin Cash 1.80 1.6 3-1
7 7 Patriot Mountain 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Lolas Lil Ed 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Our Hot Topic 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Getting Some of That 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Waylons Lil Shooter 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dlj Jess Thrill Me 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Ec Suzuki 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Eye This Carter 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 A Tempting Prize 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 Louisiana Bru 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Toast to Fury 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Fast Dashing Rose 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Tmiss Secret Patriot 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Wild About Bux 20.00 7 13-1
8 8 Ms Moochie 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Brileys Prize Doc 1.80 1.9 4-1
6 6 Jess Sweet Enough 4.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Shesa Patriot Dotcom 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Rdd Classy Cartel 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 I Noah Guy 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Ttt Einsten Momories 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Famous Corona Cash 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Fast Cash Cosino 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Spicey Jet Z 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Sir Streakin Runaway 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Sheza Fast Train B 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Jess a Bomb 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Tee Mahtoo 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Xdw Sheez Sweet 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Jl Blue Is Flashing 12.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Rm Super Angel 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Heza Little Surreal 12.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 One Hot Patriot 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ms Red Hot Patriot 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Brilliant Mind 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Davids Last Game 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Lynns Prodigy 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 A Real World 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 I Break Da Rules 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Jet Star Patriot 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Runamay Moshine 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Loves It 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Bt Lil Game 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jess Corona Blu Girl 1.80 1.6 3-1
2 2 Ms Rogue Alliance 5.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Kiss My Soxx 4.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Ec Regal Rock 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Little Red Rogue 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Five Shots Later 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Cousin Smith 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Negociante Cartel 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Cr Ease Love 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Designer Bux 20.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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