Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, July 14, 2021

July 14, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pa Encima 4.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Donzi 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Don’t Recall 3.50 4 7-1
3 3 Russian Runner 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Reigning Champion 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 E T’s Deuces Wild 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Horse Be With You 6.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Why Why Paul Why 1.80 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mine Not Mine 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 The Method 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Grandfire 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Go Huskies 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Mongolian Hero 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Battle of the Nile 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Conquistador Show 1.60 2.8 5-1
6 5 New Hampshire 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Court Sky 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Bavaria 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Inventionist 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Mountain Tree 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Commissioner Dave 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sweet Willemina 1.80 3.1 6-1
1 1 Aegean Sea 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 One Tough Rose 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 New Jersey 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Anginetti 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Lil Tater 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Cardi G 5.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Surfer Boy George 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 My Man Elvis 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Luxury Suite 2.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Finglas 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Rings of Jupiter 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Neighborhood Bully 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Kid Mac Cool 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 First Citizen 2.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Little Harbour 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mr. Roundtree 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Screen Saver 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Jw’strickymischief 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Hollywood Jet 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Off Duty 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Boom Boom Girl 4.50 4.5 9-1
12 8 Cape Elizabeth 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 6 Liam’s Lady 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Sky Queen 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 La Panzanella 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Irish Jumper 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 4 Creative Joy 20.00 7.9 15-1
6 5 Victoria Belle 15.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Pegasus in Flight 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 English Charmer 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Powwa of Love 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Neon City 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Forest Fire 3.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Chilly in Charge 1.60 3.3 6-1
2 2 Hockey Puck 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Mini Scoop 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Promised Storm 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rebel Traveller 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 5 Inspired Options 2.00 3.1 6-1
6 3 Longtail 6.00 5 10-1
1 1 Yondering 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 4 Mr. Shades of Gray 3.00 5.7 11-1
5 2 No Fly Zone 12.00 5.9 11-1
11 6 Epigrammatist 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 The Want of a Nail 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 I Say I Play 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Delaware Destroyer 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Takafumi (BRZ) 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Next Cowboy Up 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dig Charlie Dig 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Appealing Future 3.50 4 8-1
9 6 Federal Case 2.00 4.6 9-1
6 4 Moon Gate Warrior 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Tomater Gator 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 5 Kadens Courage 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Souper Fly Over 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Five More Minutes 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Arrecife 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 E J’s Revenge 1.60 3 6-1
6 4 Drummer Don 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Espresso Caliente 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Arrivederci 3.50 4.2 8-1
9 6 Hizaam 4.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Smart Royal T 15.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Inky Dinky Do 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Rockin Cowboy 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Successful Zip 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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