Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, July 14, 2021

July 14, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Opening Presence 1.80 1.8 3-1
8 8 Sheza Bell Perry 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Jess Lett Her Dash 5.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Tastreakoffire 8.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Zaxo 13 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Sheza Black Patriot 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Jess Magical 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Sweet Babe Cartel 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Ghost in the Machine 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Jrs Egos Sweet Dash 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rf Debs Blues Man 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Lethal Reign 2.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Love This Dash 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Quicksilver B 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sheza Jet Stream 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Herez the Bar 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Pk Pure Fire 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Dashing Bo Dandy 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Chris Is Special 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Dashin and Zoomin 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Clown N Dash 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Sheza Sweet Caroline 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Five Bar Memories 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Carters Lil Paul 15.00 6 11-1
9 9 Mps Triple Shot 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Jess Tempting Reb 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Ah Twisted Sister 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Zoomino 2.50 2 4-1
9 8 Couldabeen a Hero 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 4 Louisianas Girl 6.00 3 6-1
4 3 Luke Chapter Fifteen 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Paint Me Patriot 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Tf Eyes Plain Strutn 15.00 7 13-1
10 9 Brexit 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 7 Lil Boo 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Lightnin Fast Wagon 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Straw Berri Patriot 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jess Kalies Fortune 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Shez Jet Fast 5.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Ewp Just Killin Time 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Eyes a Blue Runaway 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Tf Homemade Soap 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Jet Kisses 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Ms Freighttrain 12.00 5 9-1
10 10 Fr One Sweet Dream 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Jes Leaving the Bar 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Miss Runaway Dove 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Budman 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Tm Dee First Bar 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Jessalilbit 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Jf Sizzlin Feature 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Rio Rojo Train B 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Fast Running Jet 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Rh Jess Momo 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Tm Evening Dancer 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Ms Fast Prize Doll 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jessa Fantasy Perry 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Fm First Wagon Rock 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 8 Leavingdiamondforyou 4.50 2.2 4-1
10 9 Firstpoliticalparty 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Coronas Courage 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Tdz Jes the One 10.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Valiente Harold 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Trump Our Secret 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Jetn Mia 30.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Jj First Down Dash 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Packin a Punch 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Barnett Cartel 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Apollitcal Bye 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 5 Escandalo 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Fixin Too 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 7 Jj Chris S Angel 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Openup the Bar 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Jj Paint On Luck 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lrh La Woman 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Brileys Prize 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Feisty Blue Bayou 2.50 2 4-1
7 7 Two Timin Taylor 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Pk Shezafaster Rogue 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Queen of the Wind 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Apolitical Cajun 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Tk Struttin Fast 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Rkmstormonthebayou 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Tm Carters Snowman 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 The Motel Girl 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Mis Open Dash 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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