July 14, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Opening Presence | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sheza Bell Perry | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jess Lett Her Dash | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tastreakoffire | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zaxo 13 | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Black Patriot | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jess Magical | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Babe Cartel | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ghost in the Machine | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jrs Egos Sweet Dash | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rf Debs Blues Man | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lethal Reign | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love This Dash | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quicksilver B | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Jet Stream | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Herez the Bar | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pk Pure Fire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dashing Bo Dandy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chris Is Special | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dashin and Zoomin | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clown N Dash | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheza Sweet Caroline | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five Bar Memories | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carters Lil Paul | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mps Triple Shot | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Tempting Reb | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ah Twisted Sister | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Zoomino | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Couldabeen a Hero | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Louisianas Girl | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Luke Chapter Fifteen | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Paint Me Patriot | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tf Eyes Plain Strutn | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Brexit | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lil Boo | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lightnin Fast Wagon | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Straw Berri Patriot | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jess Kalies Fortune | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shez Jet Fast | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ewp Just Killin Time | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eyes a Blue Runaway | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tf Homemade Soap | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jet Kisses | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ms Freighttrain | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fr One Sweet Dream | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jes Leaving the Bar | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Runaway Dove | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Budman | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tm Dee First Bar | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jessalilbit | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jf Sizzlin Feature | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rio Rojo Train B | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Running Jet | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rh Jess Momo | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tm Evening Dancer | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Fast Prize Doll | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jessa Fantasy Perry | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fm First Wagon Rock | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Leavingdiamondforyou | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Firstpoliticalparty | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coronas Courage | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tdz Jes the One | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valiente Harold | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trump Our Secret | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jetn Mia | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jj First Down Dash | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Packin a Punch | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barnett Cartel | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apollitcal Bye | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Escandalo | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fixin Too | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jj Chris S Angel | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Openup the Bar | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jj Paint On Luck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lrh La Woman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Brileys Prize | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Feisty Blue Bayou | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Timin Taylor | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pk Shezafaster Rogue | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen of the Wind | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apolitical Cajun | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tk Struttin Fast | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rkmstormonthebayou | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tm Carters Snowman | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Motel Girl | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mis Open Dash | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.