Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 12, 2021

July 12, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bester 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Principino 1.60 3 6-1
6 6 Digging for Gold 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Social Equality 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Mr. Tuttle 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Prince Champ 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Fox in the Fog 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Canoochee 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Molly’s Game 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Florencia 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Passport Required 6.00 4 7-1
5 5 Chancee 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Lil Miss Hotshot 2.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Towson 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Occhi d’Oro 1.80 2 4-1
1 1 Jayjaydee 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Roan Mountain 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Impactful 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Silver Edge 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Heart of a Dreamer 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Grand Oasis 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 B B’s Rocket 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 4 Mustn’t Grumble 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Miss Constitution 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Lulinda’s Heart 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mon Cherie 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tamiami 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Our Claire Bear 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Stone Cold 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Miraculousblessing 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Evil Woman 3.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Lean On E 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Breviary 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Li’lbito’charm 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Bella G 4.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Carmeltini 15.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Love in Her Eyes 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 3 Stand by You 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Onthisharvestmoon 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Kirtan 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Clout Chaser 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 To a T 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flat Out Flashy 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Sheer Flattery 1.80 2 4-1
2 2 Eclipsed Moon 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Big City Ralph 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Borsa Vento 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Town Jak 6.00 4 8-1
6 5 My Train 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Wonderfully Tuned 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Superling 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Discreet Cathy 15.00 2.4 5-1
9 6 Fed Policy 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 2 Monaco Princess 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 3 Tomarie 12.00 4 7-1
10 7 J J Loves Billy 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 5 Dirty Bird 99.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Sidereal 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Natoma 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Wings of Fury 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 I Am Redeemed 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Strawberry Red 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Kidnapped 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Pylon 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Wise Jude 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Danzafied 12.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Mead Hall 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Chrisatude 10.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Our Philly Special 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Jw’s Third Mischie 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 One Two Kid 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Ronin Warrior 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Lease 8.00 4.4 8-1
11 7 Sambam 4.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Social Group 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Wicked Strong Alex 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 6 Defibrillator 15.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Omati 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Dramatized 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Abdaa 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Croi Mor 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Judicial Restraint 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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