Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 12, 2021

July 12, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Grandeur 1.60 1.3 2-1
4 4 Plucky Strike 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Close Shave 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Mission Key 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Dance On the Moon 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Heaven’s Got Fire 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Auld Lange Syne 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Day 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Forevamo 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Runner Runner Indy 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Bad Sueno 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Linda’s Nekia 10.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Wild About Deb 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fizbo 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 4 Dubini 2.00 2 4-1
1A 7 Ventriloquism 2.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Baby Boomer 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Xmasinthecity 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 8 Jovis 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Brooks Robinson 10.00 6.1 11-1
2 1 Jammer 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Palio Siena 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 7 Pasatime 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Bourn Wild Again 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Square Peg 6.00 5 9-1
7 6 Lady Carmela 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Personal Server 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Colonel Bailey 8.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Brooksley 12.00 8.2 15-1
9 8 Bella Serena 15.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Kirby 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Shatter Me 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Aprilness 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Peaceful Way 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Award Wanted 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Lady Jean 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Domonette 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Thea’s Theme 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Flight Risk 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Team Effort 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 El Pillo 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Greek Prince 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 It’s Fate 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Mo Zone 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 My Candy Biz 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Zaya 10.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 5 Vikram 6.00 2.8 5-1
13 8 Law of the Land 4.00 3 6-1
8 4 Ride Em 5.00 5.1 10-1
6 3 Hey Padre 12.00 6.3 12-1
12 7 Striking It Lucky 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 2 Take Profit 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 1 B Determined 8.00 6.4 12-1
10 6 Van 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 3 One Nation 15.00 SCRATCH
1A 14 Why Why Paul Why 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Summer Palace 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Busster Von Trappe 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 My Danny Boy 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Firstcadete 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Tithed 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Expensive Style 2.00 3 6-1
4 3 Royal Thunder 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Code Name Brody 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Leme At Em 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Big Tall Dawg 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 Despite Odds 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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