Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 11, 2021

July 11, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Treasured Nikky 4.50 3.9 7-1
10 10 Sweet Actress 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Unmarked Money 3.50 4.5 8-1
7 7 Mamma J 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 For Ever Ours 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Bella Gabriella 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Ma Coco 15.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Hardly Social 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Kamala 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Dontmesswithtess 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Fabiola Princess 20.00 7.1 13-1
13 13 Earnestine N Hazel (IRE) 1.20 SCRATCH
14 14 Sweet Penelope 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 May Beau 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Lunar Blast 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 Viva 50.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Khocu 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Abhar 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Doo Wop Don 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Nketiah 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Smooth Music 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Kurt’s a Keeper 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Trinni John 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Luca Drew the Ace 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Areyoutalkingtome 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Face of Victory 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Wicked Temptations 3.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Dizzy Gillespie 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Just the Facts 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Dr Harlan 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Danzatale 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 2 Twirling Grace 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 7 Belle’s Kingdom 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Riveting Spirit 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Forbidden Dream 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Thats All Shewrote 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Looking for Love 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Princess Kylise 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Segoviana 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Amor Lejano (ARG) 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Inter Miami 1.80 2.1 4-1
4 4 Sir Kahn 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Silverly Enough 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Fundy’s Tide 4.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Victory Crusade 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Happy Thought 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Kitten’s Romance 2.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Lea Ro 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Irazu 8.00 4 7-1
5 5 Treasure Tails 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Tammany 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Glovanna 15.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Kahiko 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Secret Prize 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Single Lady 1.40 2 4-1
4 4 Jewish Guilt 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Settler 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Moon Lady 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Lucky Emilia 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Streaking Grey 20.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 11 Leyenda 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Include the Beast 2.50 2.9 5-1
8 7 Goodbye Gaby 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Race Day Speed 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Between Dreams 5.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Gone to Cabo 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Lights On Girl 12.00 7 13-1
12 10 Madame Barrister 15.00 7.7 14-1
9 8 Cajun Lady 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Everthree 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 9 Astromelia 20.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Karatbars 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Pretzel 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Lookinlikeaqueen 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 4 Passion Plus 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 1 Ladies’ Choice 12.00 3.3 6-1
12 8 Aizu 4.00 3.6 7-1
9 6 Wonder Blondy 6.00 3.7 7-1
11 7 Little Bit Good 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 2 Tiz Enough 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 3 Yolanda’s Pride 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Shes One Mad Momma 50.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Real Doozie 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bimini 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Raspberry Ballet 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jesus’ Team 1.80 1.8 3-1
1 1 Noble Drama 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 I’m a G Six 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Pro Quality 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Sole Volante 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Quenane 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Highestdistinction 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kenya Sun 3.00 1.7 3-1
12 10 Julie Bird (IRE) 1.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Sassy Cat 4.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Shouldaknownbetter 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Emperor’s Song 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Sassy Melly 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 7 Impetuosity 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Galleta 30.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Senorita Salsa 30.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Port Eve 50.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Kizzy 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 My Turning Pointe 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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