Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 11, 2021

July 11, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spectatorless 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Doublepour 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Lokoya Road 1.40 3.6 7-1
4 4 Bellamy Dolce 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Michael’s Bad Boy 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Profusion 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Fotis 30.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Generalonamission 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Pammy’s Ready 2.50 2 4-1
7 6 Shanghai Shamrock 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Champagne Camie 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Hot Fudge 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Union Dolly 6.00 3 6-1
8 7 Continentalcongres 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Pacific Grove 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Charlee O 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Midsummer Nights 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Shamalamadingdong 1.80 2 4-1
7 6 Towering Orbit 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Pretty Clever 2.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Road to Remember 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Out of Sight 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Constitutionalrage 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Dom’s Feisty Girl 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 4 Rhythm Section 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Sidd Finch 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Girl Dad 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Fame to Famous 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Demo Doctor 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Chulainn 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Landbiscuit 1.20 SCRATCH
8A 8 Elston 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 After Five 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 River Tiber 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Supply and Demand 20.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Tiberius Mercurius 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Voodoo Zip 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Big Package 2.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Sparkling Sky 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Yes and Yes 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Ananroad 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Ampersand 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Endorsed 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Jalen Journey 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Montauk Traffic 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 4 Basin 5.00 4 8-1
6 5 Yodel E. A. Who 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Bon Raison 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Wicked Trick 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Harper’s in Charge 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Bella Sofia 1.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Fierce Lady 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Ruvies in Time 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Primacy 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Midtown Rose 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Glass Ceiling 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Shesalittle Edgy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – River Memories S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Virginia Joy (GER) 1.80 2.4 4-1
7 5 Delta’s Kingdom 6.00 4 8-1
4 2 Call Me Love (GB) 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 4 Civil Union 4.50 4.5 8-1
2 1 Mutamakina (GB) 3.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Pallas Athene 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Luck Money 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Thankful 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Tis a Pity 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 5 Curious Mind 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 4 Escapewithfriends 10.00 3 6-1
10 8 Prairie Tales 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 6 Lookin to Fly 2.50 4.3 8-1
11 9 Barrel of Bliss 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 3 Grace in Motion 30.00 5.5 10-1
13A 11 Ethel’s Doctorate 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Idalisa 30.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Honorable Dreams 30.00 7.5 14-1
12 10 Queentigua 50.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Dorothy’s the Boss 6.00 SCRATCH
3A 3 Favorite Impulse 15.00 SCRATCH
14 12 Happy Hill Lil 50.00 13.5 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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