Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 10, 2021

July 10, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Saint’s Rest 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Ju Jitsu Cat 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Hidden Juskiddin 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Valuable Pillow 2.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Mr Will 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Make It Rain 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Sir Grayvenscroft 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Penetanguishene 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Asha Ironborn 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Classy n’ Silent 2.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Later Gator 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Miahsolomiah 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 More Savvy 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Jill 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dealmaker 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Blind Trust 1.40 2.6 5-1
5 5 Tall Water 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Papa D 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Silencium 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Sailin Street 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Dunes of Namibia 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Artful Ballerina 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Spin That Tune 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Green Gables 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Miss Speedy 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Fourteen Days 8.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Ol’ Blondie 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Hit and Run 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Cora 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Almost a Fool 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Gold Forester 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dixiewish 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Bird Savvy 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Essential Bella 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 American Gamble 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Sassywithattitude 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 We’ve Had Enough 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Erratique 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Fun Cool 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Pearlbdancing 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Infinite Passion 20.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Stunning Rivers 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Thanks Laura 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Call Me Kitty 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Smart Bird 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Rookie Girl 3.00 2 4-1
9 9 Ostracize 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Reign by Rein 5.00 4.3 8-1
14 11 Twocankeepasecret 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Forty Smooth 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 La Bestia 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Marais 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Musically Inclined 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Devine Dancing 6.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Silent Survivor 15.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Victoriaville 20.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Treasure Quest 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Elusive Society 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Keystone Law 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Nice Company 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Wicked Miah 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Selene S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Our Flash Drive 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Gote Go 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 California Lily 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Danger 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Sweet Souper Sweet 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Munnyfor Ro 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Il Malocchio 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Malibu Edge 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Small Talk 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 War Machine 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Ocelot 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Giant Waters 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Jack 10.00 4 8-1
9 9 Free Shipping 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Red Mercury 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Enchant Me 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Fury S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lorena 2.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Astrological 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Curlin’s Catch 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Il Malocchio 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bodacious Miss 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Owen’s Tour Guide 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 El Bayern 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Confident 1.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Emmeline 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Romy 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Careless Heiress 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Vivid Vixen 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Hekla’s Aura 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Miss Marie 20.00 4 7-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lower for Longer (IRE) 4.00 2.4 5-1
10 9 War Empress 2.50 2.8 5-1
12 11 Let’s Have Fun 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Call Her Joey 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Matthaus 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Northern Cross 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Cool Society 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Big Cheeks 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Winyah Bay 15.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Capture the Moment 20.00 8.2 16-1
11 10 Eleanor Powell 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Choose Hope 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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