Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 10, 2021

July 10, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 White Whiskey 30.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Alluring Rumba 1.20 4.2 8-1
4 4 Spritz of Sprite 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Lady Tizmo 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Galofmydreams 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Shabang 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dialing Dixie 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Ima Ima Starboy 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 6 H R H Jellybean 2.50 6 11-1
2 2 Awesome Jazz 5.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Deshackled 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Always Misbehaving 12.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Hartel 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Street Silence 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bernie’s On Fire 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Chargin Storm 1.60 2.3 4-1
5 5 New Frontier 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Seany P 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Kingston Pike 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Odds On 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Adelaide Miss 1.60 4.1 8-1
7 6 Kitten With a Whip 2.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Response Time 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Marvella Nasty 6.00 5 9-1
9 8 Serenade a Kitten 6.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 I’ll Make It Coach 10.00 7 13-1
3 3 Kewpie Doll 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Miss Marley 15.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Mit Mazel 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Spitball 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Speightster Red 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Buzzhound 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Scottsdale 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Kwist 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Lucian 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Crying for More 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Tigertini 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Love My Cat 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Coral Summer 6.00 6.1 11-1
13 12 Abilify 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Bellatora 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Mayfield of Dreams 3.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Notion Interruptus 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Running On Entry 4.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Dixie’s Fascinator 10.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 La Smarty 30.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Sara Plain N Tall 20.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Smart Entry 15.00 9.4 18-1
12 12 Bob’s Lady 12.00 SCRATCH
14A 14 Memories Eternal 4.50 SCRATCH
15A 15 Home by Seven 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ran Char 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Le Weekend 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Dance and Dance 1.60 3.6 7-1
6 6 Mortal Storm 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Foggy Dreams 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Phantom Shot 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Eloquent Lady 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Margie’s Heaven 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 My My Girl 3.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Sick Pack Sara 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Tea in China 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Hell in a Shell 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Quiet Imagination 4.50 5.6 11-1
8 8 Grand Skylark 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Rapidashqueen 12.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cookies and Cream 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Fearless Lassie 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Miss Old Bay 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 The Boss of You 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Supreme Blessing 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 My Way Or Else 12.00 5.1 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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