Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 10, 2021

July 10, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lord Darnley 2.50 5.6 11-1
6 5 Ethos 3.00 6 11-1
11 9 Jarlian 4.50 6.2 12-1
1 1 He Ain’t No Saint 5.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Warp Speed Baby 12.00 8 15-1
10 8 Forty Flash 15.00 9.7 18-1
8 6 Joyful Surprise 15.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Swipe Left 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Halfway Right 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Remendador 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Dream of Anfield 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Traceability 2.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Bryton’s D J 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Colonel Jackson 20.00 10.2 19-1
9 7 True Identity 20.00 11.2 21-1
12 10 Tintorero 30.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Yes I’m a Beast 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Mekano 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 El Fantasma 4.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Skipperini 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Pork Chop 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Run Lea Run 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Midnight Alibi 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Sunspot 10.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Miss Lamarr 5.00 4 8-1
7 4 Bahamian Rhapsody 2.00 4.4 8-1
10 7 La Dame 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 3 Capture the Genie 2.50 4.9 9-1
12 9 Bahamian Moon 15.00 7.5 14-1
11 8 Lady Noy 15.00 7.7 15-1
8 5 Noble Maria 20.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Madame Barrister 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Nicole Princess 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Pretzel 4.50 SCRATCH
3 1 One Slick Fact 30.00 10.7 20-1
9 6 Flying Sofia 30.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Luli’s Dancer 1.60 2.8 5-1
7 7 Uncaptured Grace 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Years Ago 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Alright Already 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Tea’s Dream 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Soul Flight 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Malibu Sky 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Bringthewine 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Street Exchange 8.00 2.1 4-1
9 8 Odalea 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Theuncapturedlady 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Brody’s Honor 2.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Independence Law 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Starry Hope 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Broadway Peggy 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Miss Wrote 30.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Liesel 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Shea D Summer 2.50 4.6 9-1
6 4 Coach Jer’s Joy 4.50 4.8 9-1
7 5 Restofthestory 5.00 5 10-1
4 2 Princess Secret 3.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Competitive Speed 3.50 5.3 10-1
8 6 Emunah 20.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Appointed 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Single Lady 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Akingisalwaysking 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Kuhl Star 2.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Skippylongstocking 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Cupid’s Dude 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Desert Ruler 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Cloud Play 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Soulful Song 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Hey High Pockets 20.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Grabbing the Money 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lyrical 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Velvet Isle 3.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Gran Michelle 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Nenita 4.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Struttin 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Takestwotowiggle 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Queen Abarrio 10.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Audrey 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Surprise Factor 3.00 3.2 6-1
11 8 Light Fury 3.50 4 8-1
8 6 Kroy 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 5 Lahinch 5.00 4.7 9-1
9 7 Mr Tito’s 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 2 Seven Channels 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 3 Nixon Joy (ARG) 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 1 Fear the Deer 20.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Wandering West 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Hard Lighting 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Rebelde 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Foster Hope 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Berhanu 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Jr Speed 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Cotton Jim 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Current Hope 3.50 4 8-1
5 4 Gege Conquest 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Fitz’s Mo 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Little Dude 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Frenchmen Street 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 7 Apache Brave 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Malraux 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Long Blade 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Gran Malbec 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Reagan’s Heart 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Moon Pistol 20.00 7 13-1
9 8 Kobe Fifty Two 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Taamer 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 I Kickn 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Carry Back S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Moonlite Strike 3.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 Real Talk 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Twelve Volt Man 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 6 Lauda Speed 5.00 2.8 5-1
9 7 Papetu 6.00 3 6-1
5 4 Awesome Gerry 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Big Thorn 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Raison d’Air 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Isolate 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Mulsanne Run 2.50 1.2 2-1
11 9 Admiral Truffles 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 2 Royal War 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Palemma 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 7 Unimpeached 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 3 China Beach 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 8 Carson and I 20.00 7 13-1
8 6 Honesto 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 5 Wrote in Stone 30.00 8.3 16-1
6 4 Lil Crown 30.00 9 17-1
2 2 Give Me Two Steps 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Khocu 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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